2. Bundesliga · 2026-09-12T11:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

3 – 0 Full time

12′			Emmanuel Iyoha
16′			Alexander Nollenberger
46′			Marlon RitterMario Sauer
46′			Erencan YardimciMergim Berisha
53′			Emmanuel Iyoha
61′			Simon AstaPaul Joly
61′			Alex MurphyMika Haas
65′			Maxwell Gyamfi
71′			Thierry Fidjeu TazemetaIbrahim Kanate
71′			Garcia MacNulty
73′			Moritz-Broni KwartengTorben Müsel
73′			Daniel HeberFelipe Chávez
73′			Herbert BockhornPierre Nadjombe
80′			Emmanuel IyohaMagnus Elias Walther Baars
85′			Luka HyryläinenPaul Jäckel
86′			Jan Elvedi

Avnet-Arena, MagdeburgReferee: Marc Philip Eckermann, Germany

1. FC Magdeburg

43%

Draw

27%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

30%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

18	Shots	13
10	Shots on target	6
53	Possession %	47
4	Corners	3
9	Fouls	5
1	Offsides	1
5	Saves	7
458	Accurate passes	376

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern overview

Garuda Lions analysis: 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	1. FC Magdeburg	Draw	1. FC Kaiserslautern
Model	36.4%	32.3%	31.3%
Market	44.9%	25.3%	29.8%
Final	42.8%	27.1%	30.2%
Edge	-8.5%	+6.9%	+1.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

87%

2+ goals

64%

3+ goals

36%

No goals

13%

1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals

1. FC Magdeburg

1.12

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1.02

Total expected goals: 2.14

1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack and defence ratings

1. FC Magdeburg

Attack

1.20 +20%

Defence

0.88 -12%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: result vs prediction

1. FC Magdeburg 3 – 0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96 — match page · 2026-09-11
Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2026-09-12
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg · 2026-09-12
FC Heidenheim v Holstein Kiel — match page · 2026-09-13
Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

1. FC Magdeburg, previous: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction
1. FC Magdeburg, next: SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Magdeburg, 2026-09-18
1. FC Kaiserslautern, previous: 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Darmstadt analysis
1. FC Kaiserslautern, next: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig: odds and pick

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	1. FC Magdeburg	42.8%	2.34	-8.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	63.9%	1.56	—	—
Both teams to score	No	55.6%	1.80	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.9%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.6%	1.57	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	1. FC Magdeburg	42.8%
	Draw	27.1%
	1. FC Kaiserslautern	30.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	36.1%
	Under 2.5	63.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	44.4%
	No	55.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.8%
	12 (either side)	72.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	57.2%
Handicap -1	1. FC Magdeburg win	15.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.9%
	Loss	63.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.8%
	0-0	13.1%
	1-0	11.8%

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern stats

1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form

newest first

1. FC Magdeburg	LWWWLL
1. FC Kaiserslautern	WWWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

51. FC Magdeburg wins 3Draws 21. FC Kaiserslautern wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-17	1. FC Magdeburg	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	0-1
2025-12-20	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga	2-3
2025-04-06	1. FC Magdeburg	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2024-11-03	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2024-05-04	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga	4-1
2023-12-02	1. FC Magdeburg	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	4-1
2023-03-03	1. FC Magdeburg	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2022-08-28	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga	4-4
2022-02-12	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1. FC Magdeburg	3. Liga	2-2
2021-09-04	1. FC Magdeburg	1. FC Kaiserslautern	3. Liga	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 25.3%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.10	3.72	3.14
Bet365	2.05	3.70	3.20
BetVictor	2.05	3.80	3.10
Betano	2.15	3.65	3.25
Betfair	2.05	3.60	3.20
Marathonbet	2.08	3.72	3.15
Pinnacle	2.13	3.78	3.34
SBO	2.09	3.44	2.92
William Hill	2.10	3.50	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▲ +0.16

X 3.70 ▼ -0.10

2 3.15 —

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T16:10:02Z.