2. Bundesliga · 2026-09-05T11:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt

3 – 0 Full time

43′			Mario Sauer
57′			Milan Smit
63′			Yannik Luhrs
63′			Paul JolyMergim Berisha
63′			Mario SauerSimon Asta
64′			Thierry Fidjeu Tazemeta
67′			Simon Asta
68′			Lars KehlLee Ho-Jae
74′			Mika HaasAlex Murphy
74′			Marlon RitterIbrahim Kanate
76′			Maxwell Gyamfi
77′			Noah WeisshauptIbrahim El Kadiri
77′			Raoul PetrettaWilliam Mikelbrencis
85′			Thierry Fidjeu TazemetaDavid Schramm
87′			Lance DuijvestijnFlorian Kleinhansl
88′			David Schramm
90′			Mergim Berisha

Fritz Walter Stadion, KaiserslauternReferee: Michael Bacher, Germany

1. FC Kaiserslautern

45%

Draw

28%

Darmstadt

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

21	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	2
56	Possession %	44
9	Corners	3
19	Fouls	14
0	Offsides	2
2	Saves	4
369	Accurate passes	262

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Draw	Darmstadt
Model	50.4%	31.8%	17.8%
Market	42.6%	26.6%	30.9%
Final	44.5%	27.9%	27.6%
Edge	+7.8%	+5.2%	-13.0%

Confidence: Low

Why 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.65.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices 1. FC Kaiserslautern below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

84%

2+ goals

59%

3+ goals

30%

No goals

16%

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Darmstadt expected goals

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1.28

Darmstadt

0.65

Total expected goals: 1.93

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Darmstadt attack and defence ratings

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Attack

0.74 -26%

Defence

0.63 -37%

Darmstadt

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt: result vs prediction

1. FC Kaiserslautern 3 – 0 Darmstadt

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC — match page · 2026-09-04
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus · 2026-09-05
Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg — match page · 2026-09-05
Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum · 2026-09-05
Hertha BSC v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page · 2026-09-06
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

1. FC Kaiserslautern, previous: St. Pauli – 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2026-08-30
1. FC Kaiserslautern, next: 1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern analysis
Darmstadt, previous: Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 prediction
Darmstadt, next: Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	44.5%	2.25	+7.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	69.5%	1.44	—	—
Both teams to score	No	64.2%	1.56	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	49.6%	2.02	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	44.5%
	Draw	27.9%
	Darmstadt	27.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	30.5%
	Under 2.5	69.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	35.8%
	No	64.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.4%
	12 (either side)	72.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	55.5%
Handicap -1	1. FC Kaiserslautern win	24.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	26.2%
	Loss	49.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	17.3%
	0-0	15.7%
	1-1	13.3%

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt stats

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Darmstadt recent form

newest first

1. FC Kaiserslautern	WWDDWW
Darmstadt	LWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

31. FC Kaiserslautern wins 3Draws 4Darmstadt wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-07	Darmstadt	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	4-0
2025-08-31	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Darmstadt	2. Bundesliga	3-1
2025-05-11	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Darmstadt	2. Bundesliga	2-1
2024-12-14	Darmstadt	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	5-1
2023-03-18	Darmstadt	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2022-09-11	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Darmstadt	2. Bundesliga	3-3
2018-02-21	Darmstadt	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	1-2
2017-08-04	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Darmstadt	2. Bundesliga	1-1
2015-05-02	Darmstadt	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	3-2
2014-11-21	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Darmstadt	2. Bundesliga	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 26.3%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.25	3.55	2.90
1xBet	2.20	3.52	3.04
Bet365	2.20	3.50	2.90
BetVictor	2.15	3.50	3.00
Betano	2.30	3.60	3.00
Betfair	2.20	3.60	2.90
Dafabet	2.27	3.65	3.00
Marathonbet	2.18	3.52	3.04
Pinnacle	2.26	3.64	3.17
SBO	2.08	3.26	2.78
Superbet	2.27	3.60	3.00
Unibet	2.15	3.65	3.05
William Hill	2.15	3.30	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▼ -0.01

X 3.51 ▼ -0.09

2 3.02 ▲ +0.11

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.