St. Pauli
vs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1 – 2 Full time
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
| Probability | St. Pauli | Draw | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 31.6% | 45.6% |
| Market | 50.8% | 24.9% | 24.2% |
| Final | 43.8% | 26.6% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -28.1% | +6.7% | +21.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack and defence ratings
St. Pauli
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: result vs prediction
St. Pauli 1 – 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Bochum v VfL Osnabrück — match page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC — team news & stats
- FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden
- Karlsruher SC v Wolfsburg — match page
- Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — team news & stats
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
- 1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel — match page
- Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Pauli | 43.8% | 2.28 | -28.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Pauli | 43.8% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Pauli win | 7.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 77.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.7% |
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern stats
St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form
| St. Pauli |
LDDLLL |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 24.9%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.88 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.88 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.81 | 3.92 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.34 | 3.47 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .