2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig

3 – 1 Full time

22′Fridolin Wagner
46′F. WagnerD. Kyereh
52′D. Kyereh
59′Kevin Ehlers
61′M. MarieJ. Urbich
61′A. OpokuJunior Ze
73′I. BadjieL. Munst
73′M. EntrupJ. Mijatovic
75′Mehmet Aydın
76′B. Jacobsen
78′Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
79′F. Di Michele SanchezN. Katterbach
79′S. Di BenedettoL. Tempelmann
80′Noah Katterbach
80′R. Meissner
86′JogoK. Faber
86′R. MeissnerL. Raimund
88′Y. Sturm
90′Florian Flick

Bremer Brücke, OsnabruckReferee: Wolfgang Haslberger, Germany

VfL Osnabrück 44%
Draw 26%
Eintracht Braunschweig 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 11
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
10 Saves 5
315 Accurate passes 434

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVfL OsnabrückDrawEintracht Braunschweig
Model51.4%21.4%27.1%
Market41.6%27.1%31.3%
Final44.0%25.7%30.2%
Edge+9.8%-5.7%-4.1%

Confidence: Low

Why VfL Osnabrück

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.66.
  • The market prices VfL Osnabrück below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

VfL Osnabrück ↓ / Eintracht Brau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

VfL Osnabrück and Eintracht Braunschweig expected goals

VfL Osnabrück 2.29
Eintracht Braunschweig 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.94

VfL Osnabrück and Eintracht Braunschweig attack and defence ratings

VfL Osnabrück

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Eintracht Braunschweig

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig: result vs prediction

VfL Osnabrück 3 – 1 Eintracht Braunschweig

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 VfL Osnabrück 44.0% 2.27 +9.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2VfL Osnabrück44.0%
Draw25.7%
Eintracht Braunschweig30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.4%
Under 2.524.6%
Both teams to scoreYes73.4%
No26.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1VfL Osnabrück win32.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
1-18.1%
2-27.0%

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig stats

VfL Osnabrück and Eintracht Braunschweig recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3VfL Osnabrück wins 3Draws 4Eintracht Braunschweig wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-07-27Eintracht BraunschweigVfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs5-1
2024-04-20VfL OsnabrückEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga0-3
2023-11-11Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga3-2
2023-07-08VfL OsnabrückEintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs0-0
2022-03-26VfL OsnabrückEintracht Braunschweig3. Liga1-1
2021-09-12Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Osnabrück3. Liga2-2
2021-04-11VfL OsnabrückEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga0-4
2020-12-13Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga0-2
2019-04-07VfL OsnabrückEintracht Braunschweig3. Liga1-0
2018-10-26Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Osnabrück3. Liga3-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 27.2%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.40 3.00
1xBet 2.26 3.44 2.99
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.35 3.40 3.05
Betfair 2.25 3.50 2.88
Dafabet 2.34 3.45 3.00
Marathonbet 2.24 3.44 2.98
Pinnacle 2.29 3.68 3.08
SBO 2.12 3.14 2.77
Superbet 2.32 3.45 3.00
Unibet 2.32 3.35 2.95
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.02
X 3.44 ▲ +0.03
2 2.99 ▲ +0.03

5 snapshots recorded, from .