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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim

2 – 2 Full time

13′Joel Grodowski
20′Paul Hennrich
24′Patrick Mainka
28′Maximilian Bauer
30′Budu Zivzivadze
45′Paul Hennrich
45′Henri KoudossouFelix Hagmann
45′Jannik RocheltLeon Jensen
55′Felix Hagmann
59′Jan Schoppner
59′Joel Grodowski
64′monju thaddaus momuluhBenjamin boakye
64′David MinIsaiah Young
70′Christian ContehMathias Honsak
71′Alessandro VogtMikkel Kaufmann
76′Maximilian Grosser
77′Paul HennrichYannik Wagner
85′Julian niehuesLuca Kerber
85′Budu ZivzivadzeOualid Mhamdi
88′Luca Kerber

Schüco-Arena, BielefeldReferee: Felix Wagner

Arminia Bielefeld 44%
Draw 24%
FC Heidenheim 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
42 Possession % 58
5 Corners 6
13 Fouls 9
5 Saves 1
288 Accurate passes 416

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArminia BielefeldDrawFC Heidenheim
Model44.6%20.3%35.0%
Market43.3%25.7%31.0%
Final43.6%24.4%32.0%
Edge+1.4%-5.4%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arminia Bielef ↓ / FC Heidenheim → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 6% 4% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 6% 4% 4+ 6% 6% 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Arminia Bielefeld and FC Heidenheim expected goals

Arminia Bielefeld 2.40
FC Heidenheim 2.13

Total expected goals: 4.53

Arminia Bielefeld and FC Heidenheim attack and defence ratings

Arminia Bielefeld

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.23 +23%

FC Heidenheim

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim: result vs prediction

Arminia Bielefeld 2 – 2 FC Heidenheim

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arminia Bielefeld 43.6% 2.29 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.0% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 80.7% 1.24 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arminia Bielefeld43.6%
Draw24.4%
FC Heidenheim32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.0%
Under 2.517.0%
Both teams to scoreYes80.7%
No19.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Arminia Bielefeld win27.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.0%
2-16.6%
1-16.1%

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim stats

Arminia Bielefeld and FC Heidenheim recent form

newest first
Arminia Bielefeld LDLDWL
FC Heidenheim WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arminia Bielefeld and FC Heidenheim going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arminia Bielefeld record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

FC Heidenheim record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Arminia Bielefeld wins 6Draws 2FC Heidenheim wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-26Arminia BielefeldFC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga0-1
2022-08-21FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga1-1
2020-06-28Arminia BielefeldFC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga3-0
2019-12-14FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga0-0
2018-12-22Arminia BielefeldFC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga1-2
2018-08-05FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga1-1
2018-03-04FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga2-2
2017-09-23Arminia BielefeldFC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga1-1
2017-04-22FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga2-2
2016-11-18Arminia BielefeldFC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 25.7%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.62 3.00
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.70 2.90
Betano 2.18 3.80 3.05
Betfair 2.05 3.80 3.00
Marathonbet 2.15 3.62 2.99
Pinnacle 2.24 3.78 3.09
SBO 2.16 3.19 2.67
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.10
X 3.62 ▼ -0.08
2 3.00 ▼ -0.22

9 snapshots recorded, from .