Bochum
vs
Wolfsburg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolfsburg
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bochum vs Wolfsburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bochum vs Wolfsburg
| Probability | Bochum | Draw | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.4% | 25.6% | 47.1% |
| Market | 34.0% | 25.2% | 40.8% |
| Final | 32.4% | 25.3% | 42.4% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
Why Wolfsburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Wolfsburg below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bochum vs Wolfsburg match preview
Bochum faces Wolfsburg in a 2. Bundesliga clash with probabilities indicating a competitive match. Bochum has a 34% chance of winning, while Wolfsburg leads slightly at 41%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.55 for Bochum and 1.70 for Wolfsburg. Both teams have shown scoring potential, with a 66% probability for both teams to score and a 63% likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Bochum has recorded two losses, one draw, and two wins in their last five matches, while Wolfsburg has a more mixed record with two wins, three draws, and one loss. The head-to-head results from the last four encounters show Bochum with one win, one draw, and Wolfsburg with two wins, indicating a slight advantage for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bochum and Wolfsburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Bochum and Wolfsburg attack and defence ratings
Bochum
Wolfsburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bochum vs Wolfsburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolfsburg | 42.4% | 2.36 | +6.3% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bochum | 32.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Wolfsburg | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolfsburg win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
Bochum vs Wolfsburg stats
Bochum and Wolfsburg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bochum and Wolfsburg season so far
Bochum record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wolfsburg record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bochum vs Wolfsburg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Wolfsburg | Bochum | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Bochum | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-20 | Wolfsburg | Bochum | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-02 | Bochum | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bochum vs Wolfsburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 25.2%, away 40.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.22 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .