Freiburg
vs
Wolfsburg
3 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Igor Matanović | ||
| 8′ | Kento Shiogai | ||
| 36′ | Yuito Suzuki | ||
| 39′ | Philipp TreuLukas Kübler | ||
| 43′ | Kento Shiogai | ||
| 55′ | Saël Kumbedi Nseke | ||
| 57′ | Alexander Bernhardsson | ||
| 60′ | Maximilian Eggestein | ||
| 63′ | Alexander BernhardssonFabian Reese | ||
| 68′ | Kento Shiogai | ||
| 68′ | Maximilian RosenfelderPhilipp Lienhart | ||
| 68′ | Yuito SuzukiKeisuke Goto | ||
| 68′ | Kento ShiogaiAlessio Besio | ||
| 75′ | Keisuke Goto | ||
| 81′ | Elvis RexhbecajBence Dárdai | ||
| 81′ | Maximilian ArnoldYannick Gerhardt | ||
| 85′ | Cyriaque IriéJan-Niklas Beste | ||
| 90′ | Keisuke Goto |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 437 | Accurate passes | 270 |
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
| Probability | Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 13.0% | 79.5% |
| Market | 59.2% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
| Final | 46.3% | 19.3% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -12.9% | -2.1% | +15.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Freiburg and Wolfsburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.08
Freiburg and Wolfsburg attack and defence ratings
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: result vs prediction
Freiburg 3 – 2 Wolfsburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Bochum v Mainz 05 — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
- Rot-Weiß Essen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page
- Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
- FC Cologne vs Union Berlin — team news & stats
- SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt
Before and after this match
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Freiburg | 46.3% | 2.16 | -12.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Freiburg | 46.3% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Wolfsburg | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Freiburg win | 2.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 5.0% | |
| Loss | 92.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.6% |
| 0-2 | 8.3% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg stats
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Wolfsburg | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 3-4 |
| 2025-04-26 | Wolfsburg | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-13 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Wolfsburg | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-22 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2023-05-19 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Wolfsburg | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 6-0 |
| 2022-03-12 | Freiburg | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.2%, draw 21.4%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.35 | 4.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 4.35 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.70 | 5.09 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 4.38 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .