DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 32

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt

0 – 2 Full time

4′Nicolas VerkooijenLars Kehl
6′Lars Kehl
53′Milan Smit
56′Milan Smit
64′Noel FutkeuLuca Schnellbacher
64′Luca SirchFelix Keidel
64′Łukasz PorebaMaurice Krattenmacher
72′Raoul Petretta
72′Milan SmitNoah Weisshaupt
72′Christopher LannertWilliam Mikelbrencis
77′Cole CampbellDavid Mokwa
83′Florian Le JoncourFrancis Onyeka
88′Lee Ho-JaeFynn-Luca Lakenmacher
90′Lasse Günther

Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-ElversbergReferee: Daniel Schlager

SV Elversberg 55%
Draw 20%
Darmstadt 25%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
74 Possession % 26
18 Corners 2
11 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 6
580 Accurate passes 159

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV ElversbergDrawDarmstadt
Model19.0%23.2%57.8%
Market67.4%18.6%14.0%
Final55.3%19.8%24.9%
Edge-12.1%+1.2%+10.9%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Elversberg ↓ / Darmstadt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

SV Elversberg and Darmstadt expected goals

SV Elversberg 1.11
Darmstadt 2.00

Total expected goals: 3.11

SV Elversberg and Darmstadt attack and defence ratings

SV Elversberg

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Darmstadt

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt: result vs prediction

SV Elversberg 0 – 2 Darmstadt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SV Elversberg 55.3% 1.81 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.2% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.3% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Elversberg55.3%
Draw19.8%
Darmstadt24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)80.2%
X2 (draw or away)44.7%
Handicap -1SV Elversberg win7.7%
Push (exactly one goal)11.9%
Loss80.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-29.1%

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt stats

SV Elversberg and Darmstadt recent form

newest first
SV Elversberg LWLDLW
Darmstadt DLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2SV Elversberg wins 3Draws 2Darmstadt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25DarmstadtSV Elversberg2. Bundesliga3-3
2025-11-30SV ElversbergDarmstadt2. Bundesliga0-0
2025-02-08DarmstadtSV Elversberg2. Bundesliga0-3
2024-08-31SV ElversbergDarmstadt2. Bundesliga4-0
2023-10-13DarmstadtSV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs4-2
2013-12-20SV ElversbergDarmstadt3. Liga0-3
2013-07-20DarmstadtSV Elversberg3. Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.4%, draw 18.6%, away 14.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 5.00 6.65
Bet365 1.38 5.00 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.80 6.50
Betano 1.40 5.10 7.00
Betfair 1.30 5.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.40 5.40 7.20
Marathonbet 1.38 5.00 6.65
Pinnacle 1.40 5.34 7.03
SBO 1.34 4.36 5.80
William Hill 1.36 4.80 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▼ -0.06
X 5.00 ▲ +0.40
2 6.65 ▲ +0.80

14 snapshots recorded, from .