FC Heidenheim
vs
Energie Cottbus
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Heidenheim
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus
| Probability | FC Heidenheim | Draw | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 22.0% | 31.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.2% | 22.0% | 31.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Heidenheim
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus match preview
FC Heidenheim hosts Energie Cottbus in a 2. Bundesliga clash, where the model gives Heidenheim a 46% chance of winning compared to Cottbus's 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, with the model indicating a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, FC Heidenheim has recorded a mix of results with a record of L-D-D-W-W-W, while Energie Cottbus has struggled, managing D-L-D-W-D-L in their last six matches. The expected goals for this encounter suggest a slight edge for Heidenheim at 2.17 compared to Cottbus's 1.80, reflecting their stronger attacking potential.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.96
FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus attack and defence ratings
FC Heidenheim
Energie Cottbus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 46.2% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Energie Cottbus | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus stats
FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus recent form
| FC Heidenheim |
LDDWWW |
| Energie Cottbus |
DLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus season so far
FC Heidenheim record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Energie Cottbus record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.