Karlsruher SC
vs
FC Heidenheim
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Heidenheim
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Heidenheim is the favourite, not a value bet.
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim
| Probability | Karlsruher SC | Draw | FC Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 23.2% | 41.4% |
| Market | 32.5% | 25.3% | 42.1% |
| Final | 33.3% | 24.8% | 41.9% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
Why FC Heidenheim
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.8% per unit staked (our 41.9% × 2.27 − 1).
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim match preview
Karlsruher SC faces FC Heidenheim in a 2. Bundesliga matchup with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the outcome show FC Heidenheim at 42%, while Karlsruher SC stands at 35% and a draw at 23%. The expected goals are 1.77 for Karlsruher SC and 1.94 for FC Heidenheim, indicating a competitive match.
Recent form highlights a struggle for Karlsruher SC, who have recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-L-L-L-D). In contrast, FC Heidenheim has shown improvement with two wins in their last six (D-L-D-D-W-W). Our model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-2, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, both at 72%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim attack and defence ratings
Karlsruher SC
FC Heidenheim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig
- Energie Cottbus vs Bochum
- Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück — match page
- Darmstadt v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 41.9% | 2.38 | -0.2% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 33.3% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| FC Heidenheim | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim stats
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim recent form
| Karlsruher SC |
LWLLLD |
| FC Heidenheim |
DLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim season so far
Karlsruher SC record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
FC Heidenheim record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 25.3%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.70 | 2.22 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.27 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.65 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 2.85 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.99 | 3.75 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .