Arminia Bielefeld
vs
Eintracht Braunschweig
Garuda Lions Prediction: Arminia Bielefeld
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.25.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig
| Probability | Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.4% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Market | 50.6% | 24.8% | 24.5% |
| Final | 52.8% | 24.0% | 23.2% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
Why Arminia Bielefeld
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Arminia Bielefeld below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.84, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 52.8% × 1.84 − 1).
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig match preview
Arminia Bielefeld hosts Eintracht Braunschweig in a 2. Bundesliga clash, with the home side holding a 53% probability of winning according to our model. Recent form shows Arminia Bielefeld with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Eintracht Braunschweig has struggled, recording one win, a draw, and three losses. The expected goals for this match suggest a strong offensive performance from Bielefeld, with an expected total of 2.27 goals compared to Braunschweig's 1.25.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Arminia Bielefeld, with a 10% likelihood. There is also a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 65%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Bielefeld has won once and drawn once, leaving Braunschweig still searching for their first victory against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig attack and defence ratings
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 52.8% | 1.89 | +2.2% | 1.84 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 52.8% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arminia Bielefeld win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig stats
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig recent form
| Arminia Bielefeld |
WWDLDL |
| Eintracht Braunschweig |
LWLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig season so far
Arminia Bielefeld record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eintracht Braunschweig record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Eintracht Braunschweig | Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 24.8%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.80 |