2. Bundesliga · ·Matchday 10

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden

Garuda Lions Prediction: Hannover 96

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.46.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hannover 96 is the favourite, not a value bet.

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover

Hannover 96 47%
Draw 24%
Dynamo Dresden 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Hannover 96 wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHannover 96DrawDynamo Dresden
Model48.1%23.9%28.0%
Market46.3%24.3%29.4%
Final46.7%24.2%29.1%
Edge+0.5%-0.1%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hannover 96

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.46.

Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 46.7% × 2.08 − 1).

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden match preview

Hannover 96 hosts Dynamo Dresden in a 2. Bundesliga clash with Hannover holding a 48% probability of victory according to our model. The expected goals for Hannover stand at 1.94, while Dynamo Dresden is projected to score 1.46. Recent form shows Hannover with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Dynamo Dresden has also struggled, recording one win and four losses in the same timeframe.

The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Hannover, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, resulting in two draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hannover 96 ↓ / Dynamo Dresden → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Hannover 96 and Dynamo Dresden expected goals

Hannover 96 1.94
Dynamo Dresden 1.46

Total expected goals: 3.40

Hannover 96 and Dynamo Dresden attack and defence ratings

Hannover 96

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Dynamo Dresden

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hannover 96 46.7% 2.14 +0.5% 2.08
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.7% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hannover 9646.7%
Draw24.2%
Dynamo Dresden29.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.1%
Under 2.533.9%
Both teams to scoreYes66.7%
No33.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.9%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.3%
Handicap -1Hannover 96 win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.2%
1-26.9%

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden stats

Hannover 96 and Dynamo Dresden recent form

newest first
Hannover 96 LDLWLD
Dynamo Dresden LWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hannover 96 and Dynamo Dresden season so far

league record

Hannover 96 record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Dynamo Dresden record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Hannover 96 wins 2Draws 0Dynamo Dresden wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga0-0
2025-09-21Dynamo DresdenHannover 962. Bundesliga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 24.3%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.84 3.18
BetVictor 2.00 3.75 3.10
Betano 2.05 3.95 3.25
Dafabet 1.99 3.85 3.25
Marathonbet 2.00 3.84 3.18
Pinnacle 2.08 3.90 3.21
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.10

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 Hannover 96 Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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