FC Heidenheim
vs
Hannover 96
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Heidenheim
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.49.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Heidenheim is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96
| Probability | FC Heidenheim | Draw | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 24.2% | 29.8% |
| Market | 45.4% | 24.8% | 29.8% |
| Final | 45.6% | 24.6% | 29.8% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.0% |
Why FC Heidenheim
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.49.
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (our 45.6% × 2.11 − 1).
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 match preview
FC Heidenheim faces Hannover 96 in a 2. Bundesliga clash with kickoff set for November 8, 2026. According to our model, FC Heidenheim has a 46% probability of winning, while Hannover 96 stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of FC Heidenheim, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for FC Heidenheim are 1.88, compared to Hannover 96's 1.49.
In terms of recent form, FC Heidenheim has recorded a sequence of L-D-L-D-D-W, while Hannover 96's recent matches show W-L-L-D-L-W. The model indicates a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 attack and defence ratings
FC Heidenheim
Hannover 96
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Darmstadt — team news & stats
- Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld — match page
- VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Hertha BSC v Wolfsburg — match page
- Bochum vs Karlsruher SC
- 1. FC Magdeburg v St. Pauli — match page
Before and after this match
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 45.6% | 2.19 | +0.1% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 45.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Hannover 96 | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% |
| No | 33.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 stats
FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 recent form
| FC Heidenheim |
LDLDDW |
| Hannover 96 |
WLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 season so far
FC Heidenheim record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Hannover 96 record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 24.8%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.68 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.90 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.68 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.77 | 3.32 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.34 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .