DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 32

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

0 – 2 Full time

14′Miloš Luković
15′Marlon Ritter
28′Marlon RitterSemih Sahin
36′Franz Roggow
45′Husseyn Chakroun
53′Jean Hugonet
63′Ibrahim KanateNaatan Skyttä
64′Miloš LukovićMario Sauer
65′Husseyn ChakrounKolja Oudenne
65′Franz RoggowStefán Teitur Thórdarson
66′Benjamin KällmanMerlin Sinanović
74′Fabian Kunze
80′Thierry Fidjeu TazemetaIvan Prtajin
80′Simon AstaPaul Joly
81′Hayate MatsudaTom Hobrecht
81′Emir SahitiMwisho Mhango
82′Paul Joly
85′Sandro Wagner
86′Ivan Prtajin
87′Ivan Prtajin

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena , HannoverReferee: Konrad Oldhafer

Hannover 96 33%
Draw 26%
1. FC Kaiserslautern 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
15 Corners 3
8 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 8
284 Accurate passes 256

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHannover 96Draw1. FC Kaiserslautern
Model8.8%25.8%65.4%
Market41.6%26.0%32.4%
Final33.4%26.0%40.7%
Edge-8.2%-0.1%+8.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.44.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices 1. FC Kaiserslautern below our published probability: +8.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hannover 96 ↓ / 1. FC Kaisersl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 20% 17% 1 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Hannover 96 and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals

Hannover 96 0.44
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.59

Total expected goals: 2.03

Hannover 96 and 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack and defence ratings

Hannover 96

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.46 -54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: result vs prediction

Hannover 96 0 – 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 1. FC Kaiserslautern 40.7% 2.46 +8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.9% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win 36.8% 2.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hannover 9633.4%
Draw26.0%
1. FC Kaiserslautern40.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.1%
Under 2.566.9%
Both teams to scoreYes29.0%
No71.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.3%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)66.6%
Handicap -11. FC Kaiserslautern win36.8%
Push (exactly one goal)28.2%
Loss35.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-120.1%
0-216.7%
0-014.1%

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern stats

Hannover 96 and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Hannover 96 wins 2Draws 41. FC Kaiserslautern wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-181. FC KaiserslauternHannover 962. Bundesliga3-1
2025-08-03Hannover 961. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga1-0
2025-02-151. FC KaiserslauternHannover 962. Bundesliga0-0
2024-09-14Hannover 961. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga3-1
2024-03-16Hannover 961. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga1-1
2023-10-061. FC KaiserslauternHannover 962. Bundesliga3-1
2023-01-28Hannover 961. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga1-3
2022-07-151. FC KaiserslauternHannover 962. Bundesliga2-1
2017-01-30Hannover 961. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga1-0
2016-08-051. FC KaiserslauternHannover 962. Bundesliga0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 26.0%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.28 3.60 2.83
Bet365 2.25 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 2.75
Betano 2.32 3.80 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.29 3.70 3.00
Marathonbet 2.26 3.60 2.82
Pinnacle 2.30 3.72 2.98
SBO 2.17 3.45 2.78
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.40
X 3.60 ▼ -0.28
2 2.89 ▼ -0.69

16 snapshots recorded, from .