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Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 2

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne

4 – 1 Full time

39′B. El Khannouss
41′Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
46′P. Okon-EngstlerE. Skhiri
46′J. ThielmannM. Moore
51′Maximilian Mittelstädt
60′G. Promel
70′D. UndavE. Demirovic
70′C. FuhrichJ. Leweling
75′L. MainaR. Heskey
75′R. AcheM. Bulter
75′E. Demirovic
78′M. MittelstadtR. Hendriks
78′B. El KhannoussL. Sauer
81′M. Bulter
85′Tom Krauß
86′Alessio Castro-Montes
90′A. StillerY. Spalt
90′T. KraussI. Rondic
90′J. Vagnoman

MHPArena, StuttgartReferee: Christian Dingert, Germany

VfB Stuttgart 58%
Draw 20%
FC Cologne 21%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
10 Corners 8
5 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 4
450 Accurate passes 316

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVfB StuttgartDrawFC Cologne
Model39.0%24.3%36.7%
Market65.0%19.1%15.9%
Final58.5%20.4%21.1%
Edge-26.0%+5.2%+20.8%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

VfB Stuttgart ↓ / FC Cologne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 4%

VfB Stuttgart and FC Cologne expected goals

VfB Stuttgart 2.17
FC Cologne 1.90

Total expected goals: 4.07

VfB Stuttgart and FC Cologne attack and defence ratings

VfB Stuttgart

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.18 +18%

FC Cologne

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne: result vs prediction

VfB Stuttgart 4 – 1 FC Cologne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Bundesliga

Before and after this match

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 VfB Stuttgart 58.5% 1.71 -26.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.0% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.6% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.6% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2VfB Stuttgart58.5%
Draw20.4%
FC Cologne21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.0%
Under 2.526.0%
Both teams to scoreYes74.6%
No25.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)79.6%
X2 (draw or away)41.5%
Handicap -1VfB Stuttgart win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-17.7%
1-27.5%

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne stats

VfB Stuttgart and FC Cologne recent form

newest first
VfB Stuttgart LWLDWD
FC Cologne WWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6VfB Stuttgart wins 2Draws 2FC Cologne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14VfB StuttgartFC CologneBundesliga3-1
2025-09-28FC CologneVfB StuttgartBundesliga1-2
2024-02-24VfB StuttgartFC CologneBundesliga1-1
2023-09-30FC CologneVfB StuttgartBundesliga0-2
2023-02-18VfB StuttgartFC CologneBundesliga3-0
2022-11-19FC CologneVfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs2-4
2022-08-28FC CologneVfB StuttgartBundesliga0-0
2022-05-14VfB StuttgartFC CologneBundesliga2-1
2021-12-19FC CologneVfB StuttgartBundesliga1-0
2021-10-27VfB StuttgartFC CologneDFB Pokal0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.0%, draw 19.1%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.49 5.00 5.00
1xBet 1.49 5.33 6.30
Bet365 1.44 5.00 5.50
BetVictor 1.44 5.00 6.00
Betano 1.50 5.10 6.10
Betfair 1.47 5.00 6.00
Dafabet 1.45 5.40 6.00
Marathonbet 1.47 5.25 6.20
Pinnacle 1.46 5.17 6.35
SBO 1.47 4.29 4.74
Superbet 1.54 4.75 5.45
Unibet 1.43 4.90 6.00
William Hill 1.44 4.75 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.47 ▲ +0.06
X 5.00 ▲ +0.10
2 6.00 ▼ -0.09

11 snapshots recorded, from .