Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Werder Bremen
vs
RasenBallsport Leipzig
3 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | E. Dinkci | ||
| 23′ | Chuki | ||
| 63′ | J. BakayokoT. Gomis | ||
| 67′ | ArthurM. Schmetgens | ||
| 67′ | E. DinkciP. Erevbenagie | ||
| 68′ | N. Fullkrug | ||
| 74′ | N. FullkrugC. Itten | ||
| 75′ | N. El AynaouiM. Guiu | ||
| 80′ | M. Grull | ||
| 83′ | Y. RegeerD. Stalmach | ||
| 83′ | ChukiS. Musah | ||
| 84′ | C. NkunkuA. Maksimovic | ||
| 84′ | A. NusaS. Konate | ||
| 90′ | R. Baku |
Werder Bremen
22%
Draw
22%
RasenBallsport Leipzig
56%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 29 | Possession % | 71 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 208 | Accurate passes | 612 |
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Probability | Werder Bremen | Draw | RasenBallsport Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 20.7% | 61.4% |
| Market | 23.2% | 22.5% | 54.2% |
| Final | 21.9% | 22.1% | 56.0% |
| Edge | -5.4% | -1.8% | +7.2% |
Why RasenBallsport Leipzig
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices RasenBallsport Leipzig below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Werder Bremen and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals
Werder Bremen
1.53
RasenBallsport Leipzig
2.55
Total expected goals: 4.07
Werder Bremen and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings
Werder Bremen
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.11 +11%
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Attack
1.59 +59%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction
Werder Bremen 3 – 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne — team news & stats
- Borussia M.Gladbach v SV Elversberg — match page
- Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
- SC Paderborn 07 v Freiburg — match page
- FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich — team news & stats
- Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05
- Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg — match page
Before and after this match
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 56.0% | 1.78 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Werder Bremen | 21.9% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% |
| No | 29.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-3 | 7.5% |
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats
Werder Bremen and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form
| Werder Bremen |
LWLLLD |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Werder Bremen wins
4Draws
6RasenBallsport Leipzig wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Werder Bremen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Werder Bremen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-12 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 4-2 |
| 2024-05-11 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-19 | Werder Bremen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-28 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-14 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Werder Bremen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-30 | Werder Bremen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | DFB Pokal | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Werder Bremen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 23.0%, away 54.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 4.32 | 4.32 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.20 | 4.05 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.78 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 4.25 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 4.20 | 4.35 | 1.76 |
| SBO | 3.46 | 3.56 | 1.79 |
| Superbet | 4.15 | 4.15 | 1.77 |
| Unibet | 3.85 | 3.90 | 1.79 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.10 ▲ +0.90
X
4.22 ▲ +0.42
2
1.75 ▼ -0.29
12 snapshots recorded, from .