Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 2

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg

3 – 4 Full time

11′Hugo Bolin
29′David Mokwa
44′Hugo Bolin
45′Vincent Wagner
45′Hugo Bolin
45′Vincent Wagner
56′Joe Scally
64′Cole CampbellMaurice Krattenmacher
66′Maurice Krattenmacher
69′Wael MohyaRobin Hack
69′Franck HonoratNicolas Kühn
75′Francis OnyekaNoel Futkeu
75′Lasse GüntherNicholas Mickelson
77′Tim KleindienstIsac Lidberg
77′Joe ScallyJan Leszczynski
79′mathieu nguefack
80′Felix Keidel
81′Lukas UllrichDavid Herold
88′Jan GyamerahLuca Sirch
88′David MokwaAmara Condé
89′Kevin Diks
90′Amara Condé
90′Maurice Krattenmacher

Borussia-ParkReferee: Martin Petersen, Germany

Borussia M.Gladbach 45%
Draw 24%
SV Elversberg 31%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 10
51 Possession % 49
13 Corners 4
18 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 0
6 Saves 2
298 Accurate passes 302

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBorussia M.GladbachDrawSV Elversberg
Model25.2%24.5%50.2%
Market51.1%24.4%24.5%
Final44.6%24.4%31.0%
Edge-25.8%+0.1%+25.7%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Borussia M.Gla ↓ / SV Elversberg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 5% 2 6% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 5%

Borussia M.Gladbach and SV Elversberg expected goals

Borussia M.Gladbach 1.64
SV Elversberg 2.09

Total expected goals: 3.73

Borussia M.Gladbach and SV Elversberg attack and defence ratings

Borussia M.Gladbach

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.06 +6%

SV Elversberg

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg: result vs prediction

Borussia M.Gladbach 3 – 4 SV Elversberg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borussia M.Gladbach 44.6% 2.24 -25.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.1% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.3% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.8% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Borussia M.Gladbach44.6%
Draw24.4%
SV Elversberg31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.1%
Under 2.530.9%
Both teams to scoreYes69.3%
No30.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)55.4%
Handicap -1Borussia M.Gladbach win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)13.1%
Loss74.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
1-29.1%
2-26.7%

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg stats

Borussia M.Gladbach and SV Elversberg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Borussia M.Gladbach wins 0Draws 0SV Elversberg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-12-22SV ElversbergBorussia M.GladbachDFB Pokal0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs SV Elversberg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 24.8%, away 24.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.80 3.75
1xBet 1.93 4.01 4.03
Bet365 1.85 3.80 3.90
BetVictor 1.85 3.90 3.70
Betano 1.88 3.85 3.90
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.90
Dafabet 1.90 3.90 3.90
Marathonbet 1.90 3.95 3.96
Pinnacle 1.90 3.95 3.90
SBO 1.84 3.41 3.42
Superbet 1.90 3.85 3.85
Unibet 1.80 3.75 3.95
William Hill 1.85 3.70 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▲ +0.25
X 3.92 ▼ -0.17
2 3.90 ▼ -1.10

12 snapshots recorded, from .