SV Elversberg
vs
Bayern Munich
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Francis Onyeka | ||
| 11′ | Francis OnyekaNoah Darvich | ||
| 26′ | Lennart Karl | ||
| 45′ | Cole CampbellMaurice Krattenmacher | ||
| 61′ | Maurice Krattenmacher | ||
| 63′ | Felix Keidel | ||
| 65′ | Nathaniel BrownAlphonso Davies | ||
| 65′ | Tom BischofJoshua Kimmich | ||
| 65′ | Ismael SaibariLuis Díaz | ||
| 65′ | Lennart KarlJamal Musiala | ||
| 72′ | Harry Kane | ||
| 73′ | Felix KeidelAmara Condé | ||
| 73′ | David MokwaNoel Futkeu | ||
| 83′ | Lukas PetkovLuca Schnellbacher |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 28 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 28 | Possession % | 72 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 246 | Accurate passes | 753 |
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich
| Probability | SV Elversberg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.5% | 21.6% | 52.9% |
| Market | 6.4% | 10.6% | 83.0% |
| Final | 11.1% | 13.4% | 75.5% |
| Edge | +19.1% | +11.0% | -30.1% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.38
SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings
SV Elversberg
Bayern Munich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich: result vs prediction
SV Elversberg 1 – 2 Bayern Munich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Borussia M.Gladbach
- Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt — match page
- Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
- Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen — team news & stats
- RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
Before and after this match
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 75.5% | 1.32 | -30.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Elversberg | 11.1% |
| Draw | 13.4% | |
| Bayern Munich | 75.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.6% |
| No | 23.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich stats
SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich recent form
| SV Elversberg |
WWWWLW |
| Bayern Munich |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.8%, draw 11.0%, away 82.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.50 | 7.75 | 1.18 |
| 1xBet | 16.00 | 8.80 | 1.19 |
| Bet365 | 13.00 | 9.50 | 1.14 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 9.50 | 1.12 |
| Betano | 15.50 | 9.50 | 1.17 |
| Betfair | 17.00 | 9.00 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 11.00 | 8.20 | 1.19 |
| Marathonbet | 16.00 | 8.60 | 1.17 |
| Pinnacle | 14.74 | 9.20 | 1.16 |
| SBO | 9.64 | 7.24 | 1.14 |
| Unibet | 14.00 | 8.50 | 1.14 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.15 |
| winamax_de | 8.50 | 7.00 | 1.14 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
29 snapshots recorded, from .