Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Mainz 05
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 – 3 Full time
| 9′ | Can Yilmaz Uzun | ||
| 41′ | Raphael Onyedika Nwadike | ||
| 45′ | Jonathan Burkardt | ||
| 45′ | Lee Jae-SungRansford Konigsdorffer | ||
| 59′ | Noel AsekoMario Götze | ||
| 60′ | Can Yilmaz Uzun | ||
| 62′ | Anthony CaciDanny da Costa | ||
| 70′ | Mario Götze | ||
| 74′ | Jonathan BurkardtYounes Ebnoutalib | ||
| 74′ | Phillipp MweneRael Nakuzola | ||
| 74′ | Sheraldo BeckerBenedict Hollerbach | ||
| 85′ | Nadiem AmiriOtto Ruoppi | ||
| 87′ | Can Yilmaz UzunAyoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab | ||
| 87′ | Elias Niklas BaumTimothy Chandler | ||
| 89′ | Phillip Tietz |
Mainz 05
52%
Draw
23%
Eintracht Frankfurt
25%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 387 | Accurate passes | 327 |
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
| Probability | Mainz 05 | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 20.7% | 26.0% |
| Market | 52.0% | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Final | 52.4% | 22.6% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +1.3% | -2.6% | +1.3% |
Why Mainz 05
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
82%
No goals
2%
Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals
Mainz 05
2.90
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.85
Total expected goals: 4.75
Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt attack and defence ratings
Mainz 05
Attack
1.62 +62%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack
1.47 +47%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: result vs prediction
Mainz 05 1 – 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Borussia M.Gladbach
- Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
- Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen — team news & stats
- RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
- SV Elversberg v Bayern Munich — match page
Before and after this match
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mainz 05 | 52.4% | 1.91 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mainz 05 | 52.4% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.2% |
| No | 20.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mainz 05 win | 35.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-1 | 6.7% |
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats
Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt recent form
| Mainz 05 |
WDWWLW |
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
LDWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Mainz 05 wins
4Draws
4Eintracht Frankfurt wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-01-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-27 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2022-11-13 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2022-01-27 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 23.5%, away 25.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 4.16 | 4.11 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 4.10 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 4.06 | 4.09 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.72 | 3.47 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.83 ▼ -0.55
X
4.10 ▲ +0.50
2
3.85 ▲ +1.23
26 snapshots recorded, from .