Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
Freiburg
2 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Raphael Onyedika Nwadike | ||
| 10′ | Younes Ebnoutalib | ||
| 34′ | Derry Lionel Scherhant | ||
| 36′ | Jonathan Burkardt | ||
| 37′ | Mio Backhaus | ||
| 45′ | Noel AsekoOscar Winther Hojlund | ||
| 48′ | Yuito Suzuki | ||
| 56′ | Oscar Winther Hojlund | ||
| 61′ | Elias Niklas BaumNnamdi Collins | ||
| 61′ | Ritsu DoanAnsgar Knauff | ||
| 71′ | Jan-Niklas BesteLukas Kübler | ||
| 71′ | Derry Lionel ScherhantVincenzo Grifo | ||
| 83′ | Yuito SuzukiLucas Höler | ||
| 84′ | Igor MatanovicKeisuke Goto | ||
| 88′ | Lucas Höler | ||
| 89′ | Can Yilmaz UzunMario Götze | ||
| 89′ | Jonathan BurkardtAyoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab |
Eintracht Frankfurt
37%
Draw
25%
Freiburg
39%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 255 | Accurate passes | 374 |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg
| Probability | Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 22.8% | 45.7% |
| Market | 38.2% | 25.4% | 36.4% |
| Final | 36.6% | 24.7% | 38.7% |
| Edge | -6.7% | -2.6% | +9.4% |
Why Freiburg
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Freiburg below the model: +9.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
3%
Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg expected goals
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.09
Freiburg
2.25
Total expected goals: 4.34
Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg attack and defence ratings
Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Freiburg
Attack
1.53 +53%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg: result vs prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 – 2 Freiburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin — team news & stats
- Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
- Borussia M.Gladbach v Mainz 05 — match page
- Hamburger SV vs FC Cologne
- VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund — match page
- Bayer Leverkusen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig — team news & stats
- FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
- SC Paderborn 07 v Hoffenheim — match page
Before and after this match
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Freiburg | 38.7% | 2.58 | +9.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 36.6% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Freiburg | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% |
| No | 22.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Freiburg win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-2 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg stats
Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg recent form
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
WLDWDL |
| Freiburg |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Eintracht Frankfurt wins
4Draws
2Freiburg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Freiburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Freiburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 4-1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Freiburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2024-01-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Friendlies Clubs | 2-5 |
| 2023-09-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-27 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-25 | Freiburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 25.3%, away 36.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.88 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 3.78 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53 | 3.75 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.34 | 3.40 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| winamax_de | 2.15 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.49 ▲ +0.39
X
3.75 ▲ +0.25
2
2.62 ▼ -0.03
25 snapshots recorded, from .