Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

6 – 0 Full time

1′Ezechiel Banzuzi
5′Christopher Nkunku
27′Neil El Aynaoui
41′Christopher Nkunku
44′Christopher Nkunku
45′Robin KochElias Niklas Baum
45′Keita KosugiYounes Ebnoutalib
54′Antonio Nusa
58′Neil El AynaouiNicolas Seiwald
58′Ridle BakuBenjamin Henrichs
62′Elias Niklas Baum
64′Christopher NkunkuTidiam Gomis
64′Antonio NusaMax Finkgräfe
73′Noel AsekoFares Chaibi
73′Ezechiel BanzuziRocco Reitz
73′Ritsu DoanLove Arrhov
76′Ansgar Knauff
84′Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
89′Tidiam Gomis

Leipzig Red Bull Arena, LeipzigReferee: Daniel Siebert

RasenBallsport Leipzig 56%
Draw 20%
Eintracht Frankfurt 24%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 18
10 Shots on target 9
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 6
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
9 Saves 4
376 Accurate passes 423

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRasenBallsport LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
Model42.8%21.6%35.6%
Market60.1%19.8%20.1%
Final55.7%20.3%24.0%
Edge-4.3%+0.4%+3.9%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why RasenBallsport Leipzig

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 2.16.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

RasenBallsport ↓ / Eintracht Fran → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 4% 4+ 5% 6% 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals

RasenBallsport Leipzig 2.61
Eintracht Frankfurt 2.16

Total expected goals: 4.77

RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt attack and defence ratings

RasenBallsport Leipzig

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: result vs prediction

RasenBallsport Leipzig 6 – 0 Eintracht Frankfurt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Bundesliga

Before and after this match

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 RasenBallsport Leipzig 55.7% 1.79 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.7% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 81.1% 1.23 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2RasenBallsport Leipzig55.7%
Draw20.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.7%
Under 2.517.3%
Both teams to scoreYes81.1%
No18.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1RasenBallsport Leipzig win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.1%
1-16.7%
2-16.6%

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats

RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6RasenBallsport Leipzig wins 1Draws 3Eintracht Frankfurt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Eintracht FrankfurtRasenBallsport LeipzigBundesliga1-3
2025-12-06RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga6-0
2025-04-26Eintracht FrankfurtRasenBallsport LeipzigBundesliga4-0
2024-12-15RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga2-1
2024-12-04RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal3-0
2024-05-18Eintracht FrankfurtRasenBallsport LeipzigBundesliga2-2
2024-01-13RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga0-1
2023-06-03RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal2-0
2023-02-25RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga2-1
2023-01-07RasenBallsport LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 19.8%, away 20.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 5.03 4.98
Bet365 1.60 4.50 4.75
BetVictor 1.55 4.80 4.75
Betano 1.62 4.90 4.80
Betfair 1.60 4.75 4.75
Dafabet 1.60 4.90 4.80
Marathonbet 1.58 4.90 4.85
Pinnacle 1.60 4.95 4.89
SBO 1.56 4.51 4.33
William Hill 1.57 4.50 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▲ +0.07
X 4.85 ▲ +0.12
2 4.78 ▼ -0.35

46 snapshots recorded, from .