RasenBallsport Leipzig
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Garuda Lions Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
| Probability | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 21.5% | 35.3% |
| Market | 60.3% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| Final | 56.0% | 20.4% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -17.1% | +1.5% | +15.6% |
Why RasenBallsport Leipzig
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 2.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt match preview
RasenBallsport Leipzig hosts Eintracht Frankfurt in a Bundesliga clash with Leipzig holding a 57% probability of victory compared to Frankfurt's 23%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Leipzig, with an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 81% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals suggest Leipzig will generate 2.63, while Frankfurt is anticipated to produce 2.15.
In terms of recent form, Leipzig has recorded two wins in their last three matches, while Frankfurt has had a mixed run, with two wins and three draws in their last six outings. The head-to-head record shows Leipzig with three wins, one draw, and two wins for Frankfurt in their last six encounters, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt team news
RasenBallsport Leipzig news
- A. Ouedraogo — shoulder injury
- B. Gruda — muscle injury
- C. Baumgartner — thigh injury
- M. Guiu — hamstring injury
- R. Reitz — muscle injury
Eintracht Frankfurt news
- F. Chaibi — lacking match fitness
- J. Maluze — thigh injury
- J. Ngankam — hamstring injury
- M. Pimpong — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.78
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt attack and defence ratings
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — match page
- Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
- Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg — team news & stats
- SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
- FC Cologne v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 56.0% | 1.78 | -17.1% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 56.0% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.2% |
| No | 18.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.1% |
| 1-1 | 6.7% | |
| 2-1 | 6.6% |
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt recent form
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
LWLLWW |
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
DWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Eintracht Frankfurt | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-06 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 6-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 4-0 |
| 2024-12-15 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-04 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | DFB Pokal | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Eintracht Frankfurt | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-13 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-03 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | DFB Pokal | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-25 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-07 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Friendlies Clubs | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 20.0%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 5.13 | 5.29 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.70 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.90 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.93 | 4.79 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.36 | 4.47 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .