SC Paderborn 07
vs
VfB Stuttgart
0 – 2 Full time
| 25′ | Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot | ||
| 45′ | Marvin Pieringer | ||
| 70′ | Stefano MarinoSteffen Tigges | ||
| 70′ | Marvin PieringerRayan Philippe | ||
| 72′ | Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotFinn Jeltsch | ||
| 77′ | Ermedin DemirovićDženan Pejčinović | ||
| 77′ | Jamie LewelingBilal El Khannouss | ||
| 80′ | Laurin UlrichOliver Batista Meier | ||
| 83′ | Chris Führich | ||
| 85′ | Mattes HansenFelix Götze | ||
| 85′ | Tjark SchellerJonah Sticker | ||
| 85′ | Deniz UndavGrischa Prömel | ||
| 85′ | Chris FührichLeo Sauer |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 398 | Accurate passes | 357 |
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
| Probability | SC Paderborn 07 | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 24.4% | 33.2% |
| Market | 19.2% | 20.1% | 60.7% |
| Final | 25.0% | 21.2% | 53.8% |
| Edge | +5.8% | +1.1% | -6.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart attack and defence ratings
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: result vs prediction
SC Paderborn 07 0 – 2 VfB Stuttgart
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — match page
- Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
- Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg — team news & stats
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt — match page
- FC Cologne v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 53.8% | 1.86 | -6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 25.0% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 53.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 66.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart stats
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart recent form
| SC Paderborn 07 |
WLLDWW |
| VfB Stuttgart |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-31 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal | 1-2 |
| 2015-05-23 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2014-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart | SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.6%, draw 20.6%, away 59.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.08 | 4.83 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.70 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 4.90 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | 4.97 | 4.75 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.25 | 4.13 | 1.54 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
45 snapshots recorded, from .