SC Paderborn 07
vs
VfB Stuttgart
Garuda Lions Prediction: VfB Stuttgart
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
| Probability | SC Paderborn 07 | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 24.4% | 33.1% |
| Market | 19.7% | 20.6% | 59.7% |
| Final | 25.4% | 21.5% | 53.1% |
| Edge | +22.7% | +3.9% | -26.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.64, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart match preview
SC Paderborn 07 faces VfB Stuttgart in an upcoming Bundesliga match, with the probabilities indicating a 26% chance of a Paderborn victory, a 22% likelihood of a draw, and a 52% chance for Stuttgart to win. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. The match is expected to feature goals, with a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, SC Paderborn 07 has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while VfB Stuttgart has experienced two wins and three losses in the same timeframe. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive display from Paderborn at 2.24 compared to Stuttgart's 1.78, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart team news
SC Paderborn 07 news
- L. Eickel — back injury
- M. Hoffmeier — muscle injury
- N. Awortwie-Grant — knee injury
- S. Klaas — muscle injury
- T. Gayret — knee injury
VfB Stuttgart news
- A. Al Dakhil — knee injury
- D. Zagadou — muscle injury
- J. Diehl — muscle injury
- N. Nartey — muscle injury
- T. Tomas — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart attack and defence ratings
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — match page
- Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
- Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg — team news & stats
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt — match page
- FC Cologne v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 53.1% | 1.88 | -26.6% | 1.64 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 25.4% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 53.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart stats
SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart recent form
| SC Paderborn 07 |
WLLDWW |
| VfB Stuttgart |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-31 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal | 1-2 |
| 2015-05-23 | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2014-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart | SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 20.6%, away 59.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.08 | 4.83 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.70 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 4.70 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.95 | 4.74 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.25 | 4.13 | 1.54 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .