Slovan Bratislava
vs
VfB Stuttgart
Garuda Lions Prediction: VfB Stuttgart
1 – 2 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
| Probability | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 18.4% | 22.0% |
| Market | 11.1% | 16.5% | 72.5% |
| Final | 23.2% | 16.9% | 59.9% |
| Edge | +48.4% | +2.0% | -50.4% |
Why VfB Stuttgart
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart match preview
Slovan Bratislava faces VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League with model probabilities indicating a 23% chance for Slovan Bratislava to win, a 17% chance for a draw, and a 60% likelihood of a VfB Stuttgart victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 5%. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams scoring at 78%.
In terms of recent form, Slovan Bratislava has recorded a W-D-L-L-L-W sequence, while VfB Stuttgart shows a mixed record of L-L-W-W-L-W. The expected goals for Slovan Bratislava stand at 2.78, compared to 1.72 for VfB Stuttgart, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter. The confidence grade for this analysis is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.50
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart attack and defence ratings
Slovan Bratislava
VfB Stuttgart
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Feyenoord v Como — match page
- Lask Linz vs Liverpool — team news & stats
- Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain
- Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe — match page
- Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Roma vs Real Madrid
- Real Betis v FC Porto — match page
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 59.9% | 1.67 | -50.4% | 1.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 23.2% |
| Draw | 16.9% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 59.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.5% |
| No | 22.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win | 10.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.4% | |
| Loss | 78.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.4% |
| 3-1 | 6.8% | |
| 2-2 | 6.3% |
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart stats
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart recent form
| Slovan Bratislava |
WDLLLW |
| VfB Stuttgart |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart season so far
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.1%, draw 16.5%, away 72.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.00 | 6.06 | 1.35 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.75 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 8.50 | 5.70 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 8.40 | 6.00 | 1.31 |
| Marathonbet | 8.70 | 5.85 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 8.58 | 5.90 | 1.29 |
| SBO | 6.38 | 4.94 | 1.27 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .