Galatasaray
vs
Barcelona
1 – 4 Full time
| 28′ | Aleksey Batrakov | ||
| 43′ | João Cancelo | ||
| 50′ | Fermín López | ||
| 53′ | Anthony Gordon | ||
| 58′ | Mario LeminaLesley Ugochukwu | ||
| 58′ | Aleksey BatrakovGabriel | ||
| 58′ | Yunus AkgünLeroy Sané | ||
| 58′ | Daniel Olmo CarvajalGabriel Jesus | ||
| 59′ | Anthony GordonKarim Adeyemi | ||
| 64′ | Rafael Leão | ||
| 65′ | Karim Adeyemi | ||
| 67′ | Baris Alper YilmazRoland Sallai | ||
| 73′ | Eric GarcíaJules Koundé | ||
| 73′ | PedriMarc Bernal | ||
| 81′ | Lucas TorreiraRenato Nhaga | ||
| 82′ | Fermín LópezPablo Martín Páez Gavira | ||
| 86′ | Roland Sallai |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 29 | Possession % | 71 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 8 | Offsides | 7 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 203 | Accurate passes | 627 |
Galatasaray vs Barcelona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galatasaray vs Barcelona
| Probability | Galatasaray | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 19.4% | 57.9% |
| Market | 11.2% | 14.6% | 74.3% |
| Final | 14.0% | 15.8% | 70.2% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +1.2% | -4.1% |
Why Barcelona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.64.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Galatasaray and Barcelona expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.25
Galatasaray and Barcelona attack and defence ratings
Galatasaray
Barcelona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Galatasaray vs Barcelona: result vs prediction
Galatasaray 1 – 4 Barcelona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Galatasaray vs Barcelona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 70.2% | 1.42 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 14.0% |
| Draw | 15.8% | |
| Barcelona | 70.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% |
| No | 24.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.0% |
| 1-3 | 6.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.8% |
Galatasaray vs Barcelona stats
Galatasaray and Barcelona recent form
| Galatasaray |
WLWLWW |
| Barcelona |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galatasaray vs Barcelona head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-17 | Galatasaray | Barcelona | UEFA Europa League | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-10 | Barcelona | Galatasaray | UEFA Europa League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Galatasaray vs Barcelona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.2%, draw 14.6%, away 74.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.70 | 6.66 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 7.00 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.00 | 6.70 | 1.33 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 7.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 7.80 | 6.80 | 1.31 |
| Marathonbet | 8.60 | 6.55 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 8.65 | 6.40 | 1.29 |
| SBO | 7.14 | 6.28 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .