Real Betis
vs
Barcelona
2 – 5 Full time
Real Betis vs Barcelona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Betis vs Barcelona
| Probability | Real Betis | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 18.1% | 59.5% |
| Market | 16.6% | 17.7% | 65.7% |
| Final | 18.1% | 17.8% | 64.2% |
| Edge | +5.9% | +0.4% | -6.3% |
Why Barcelona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.86.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Betis and Barcelona expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.91
Real Betis and Barcelona attack and defence ratings
Real Betis
Barcelona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Betis vs Barcelona: result vs prediction
Real Betis 2 – 5 Barcelona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Deportivo La Coruna v Levante — match page
- Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid — team news & stats
- Villarreal vs Elche — team news & stats
- Valencia vs Athletic Club — team news & stats
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander — team news & stats
- Celta Vigo vs Alaves
- Malaga v Real Sociedad — match page
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla
Before and after this match
Real Betis vs Barcelona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 64.2% | 1.56 | -6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 18.1% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| Barcelona | 64.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 12.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.5% |
| No | 17.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 6.2% |
| 1-2 | 6.1% | |
| 2-3 | 6.1% |
Real Betis vs Barcelona stats
Real Betis and Barcelona recent form
| Real Betis |
WWDWWW |
| Barcelona |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Betis and Barcelona going into this match
Real Betis record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barcelona record
- They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 4.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Real Betis vs Barcelona head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Barcelona | Real Betis | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Real Betis | Barcelona | La Liga | 3-5 |
| 2025-04-05 | Barcelona | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Barcelona | Real Betis | Copa del Rey | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Real Betis | Barcelona | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Real Betis | Barcelona | La Liga | 2-4 |
| 2023-09-16 | Barcelona | Real Betis | La Liga | 5-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Barcelona | Real Betis | La Liga | 4-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | Real Betis | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-12 | Real Betis | Barcelona | Super Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Betis vs Barcelona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.1%, draw 17.5%, away 66.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.35 | 5.43 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 5.75 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 5.25 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 5.20 | 1.42 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 5.50 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 5.60 | 1.43 |
| Marathonbet | 6.25 | 5.35 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | 5.74 | 5.71 | 1.46 |
| SBO | 5.32 | 4.84 | 1.37 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| nordicbet | 5.90 | 5.70 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
29 snapshots recorded, from .