Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Levante
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
| Probability | Deportivo La Coruna | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 24.0% | 20.7% |
| Market | 45.1% | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| Final | 47.7% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
| Edge | +10.2% | -3.5% | -6.8% |
Why Deportivo La Coruna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo La Coruna below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.36
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante attack and defence ratings
Deportivo La Coruna
Levante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 47.7% | 2.10 | +10.2% | 2.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 47.7% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Levante | 25.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Coruna win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante stats
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante recent form
| Deportivo La Coruna |
DLDWWD |
| Levante |
LLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante season so far
Deportivo La Coruna record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levante record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 27.4%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.62 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.52 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.48 | 3.54 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.19 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.48 | 3.54 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .