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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna

3 – 2 Full time

29′Jon Martin
34′Arsen Zakharyan
40′David Mella
45′David MellaRiki Rodríguez
54′Gonçalo Guedes
56′Gonçalo GuedesJob Ochieng
56′Arsen ZakharyanMikel Oyarzabal
57′Ximo NavarroAdria Altimira
57′Diego VillaresLorenzo Amatucci
57′Luismi CruzAdama Traoré
61′Mario Soriano
66′Pablo Marin
69′Yeremay Hernández
69′Carlos SolerIgor Zubeldia
71′José María Giménez
79′Giacomo QuagliataJonathan Asp Jensen
88′Ander BarrenetxeaHector Fort
90′Lorenzo Amatucci
90′Yangel Herrera

Anoeta Stadium, San SebastianReferee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Real Sociedad 54%
Draw 25%
Deportivo La Coruna 21%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 7
40 Possession % 60
7 Corners 10
14 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 0
6 Saves 1
285 Accurate passes 443

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal SociedadDrawDeportivo La Coruna
Model37.6%28.7%33.6%
Market59.3%23.3%17.4%
Final53.9%24.7%21.5%
Edge-5.4%+1.4%+4.1%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Real Sociedad

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Sociedad ↓ / Deportivo La C → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 7%

Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals

Real Sociedad 1.47
Deportivo La Coruna 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.93

Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings

Real Sociedad

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna: result vs prediction

Real Sociedad 3 – 2 Deportivo La Coruna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Sociedad 53.9% 1.86 -5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Sociedad53.9%
Draw24.7%
Deportivo La Coruna21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)46.1%
Handicap -1Real Sociedad win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna stats

Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna recent form

newest first
Real Sociedad WLLWDW
Deportivo La Coruna DLDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Sociedad record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Coruna record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Real Sociedad wins 5Draws 1Deportivo La Coruna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-02-02Real SociedadDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga5-0
2017-09-10Deportivo La CorunaReal SociedadLa Liga2-4
2017-04-23Real SociedadDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-0
2016-12-05Deportivo La CorunaReal SociedadLa Liga5-1
2016-01-16Real SociedadDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-1
2015-08-22Deportivo La CorunaReal SociedadLa Liga0-0
2015-04-12Real SociedadDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga2-2
2014-11-22Deportivo La CorunaReal SociedadLa Liga0-0
2013-06-01Deportivo La CorunaReal SociedadLa Liga0-1
2013-01-13Real SociedadDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 23.3%, away 17.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.66 4.22 5.75
Bet365 1.62 4.00 5.50
BetVictor 1.60 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.60 4.10 5.50
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.50
Dafabet 1.63 4.10 5.40
Marathonbet 1.61 4.10 5.60
Pinnacle 1.62 4.13 5.57
SBO 1.60 3.72 4.79
William Hill 1.60 3.90 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.46
X 4.10 ▲ +0.74
2 5.50 ▲ +1.71

47 snapshots recorded, from .