Real Sociedad
vs
Deportivo La Coruna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Sociedad
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna
| Probability | Real Sociedad | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.6% | 28.8% | 33.7% |
| Market | 59.5% | 23.6% | 16.9% |
| Final | 54.1% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -22.0% | +5.2% | +16.8% |
Why Real Sociedad
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.66, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna match preview
Real Sociedad hosts Deportivo La Coruna in this La Liga matchup, with the home side holding a 52% probability of victory compared to Deportivo's 23%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, occurring at a 9% likelihood. Both teams show a strong chance of scoring, with 63% probability for both teams to find the net, while the expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 58%.
Recent form indicates that Real Sociedad has recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches, while Deportivo La Coruna has two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same period. The expected goals for Real Sociedad is 1.47, closely followed by Deportivo La Coruna at 1.45, highlighting a potentially competitive encounter.
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna team news
Real Sociedad news
- A. Odriozola — knee injury
- H. Fort — injury
- I. Zubeldia — injury
- O. Oskarsson — suspended
Deportivo La Coruna news
- M. Casado — collarbone injury
- N. Carrillo — ankle injury
- P. Aubameyang — knee injury
- Z. Eddahchouri — wrist injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 54.1% | 1.85 | -22.0% | 1.66 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 54.1% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Sociedad win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna stats
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna recent form
| Real Sociedad |
WLLWDW |
| Deportivo La Coruna |
DLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna season so far
Real Sociedad record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Deportivo La Coruna record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 23.6%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 4.22 | 5.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.27 | 5.94 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.70 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .