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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Osasuna vs Racing Santander

2 – 0 Full time

6′Alvaro Mantilla
9′Ante Budimir
28′Valentin Rosier
45′André AlmeidaAndrés Martín
51′Jorge Salinas Viadero
60′Ante Budimir
67′Moi GómezAsier Osambela
67′Iker Muñoz CamerosLucas Torró
69′Sergio CanalesPablo García
76′Jonathan DubasinRaul Moro
76′Valentin RosierÍñigo Arguibide
80′Iván Martín
83′Jorge Salinas ViaderoAarón Martin Caricol
83′Iván MartínAsier Villalibre
88′Asier Osambela
90′Rubén GarcíaRaul García
90′Yassir ZabiriGiorgi Guliashvili

Estadio El Sadar, PamplonaReferee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Osasuna 48%
Draw 25%
Racing Santander 27%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
44 Possession % 56
7 Corners 4
21 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 2
1 Saves 5
244 Accurate passes 362

Osasuna vs Racing Santander overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Osasuna vs Racing Santander

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOsasunaDrawRacing Santander
Model46.8%23.9%29.4%
Market48.2%25.5%26.3%
Final47.8%25.1%27.1%
Edge-0.4%-0.4%+0.8%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Osasuna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.69.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Osasuna ↓ / Racing Santand → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 4%

Osasuna and Racing Santander expected goals

Osasuna 2.04
Racing Santander 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.73

Osasuna and Racing Santander attack and defence ratings

Osasuna

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Racing Santander

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: result vs prediction

Osasuna 2 – 0 Racing Santander

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Osasuna vs Racing Santander markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Osasuna 47.8% 2.09 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.7% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.6% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.2% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Osasuna47.8%
Draw25.1%
Racing Santander27.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.7%
Under 2.526.3%
Both teams to scoreYes73.6%
No26.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.9%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.2%
Handicap -1Osasuna win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss53.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-18.4%
2-27.1%

Osasuna vs Racing Santander stats

Osasuna and Racing Santander recent form

newest first
Osasuna LDLLLW
Racing Santander DLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Osasuna and Racing Santander going into this match

league record before kick-off

Osasuna record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Santander record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Osasuna wins 0Draws 3Racing Santander wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-24OsasunaRacing SantanderFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-08-02OsasunaRacing SantanderFriendlies Clubs0-1
2012-05-13Racing SantanderOsasunaLa Liga2-4
2012-01-15OsasunaRacing SantanderLa Liga0-2
2011-03-13OsasunaRacing SantanderLa Liga3-1
2010-10-31Racing SantanderOsasunaLa Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 25.9%, away 26.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.78 3.82
Bet365 1.95 3.80 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.80 3.40
Betano 2.00 3.65 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.60
Dafabet 2.06 3.70 3.55
Marathonbet 1.99 3.68 3.72
Pinnacle 2.00 3.76 3.71
SBO 2.01 3.28 3.06
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.50
pinnacle 1.91 3.40 4.26

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.10
X 3.77 ▲ +0.36
2 3.66 ▼ -0.64

29 snapshots recorded, from .