Levante
vs
Athletic Club
Garuda Lions Prediction: Levante
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Levante vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Levante vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Levante | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 25.4% | 34.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.7% | 25.4% | 34.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Best available price on the pick: 3.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Levante vs Athletic Club match preview
Levante faces Athletic Club in a La Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 21, 2026. According to our model, Levante has a 40% probability of winning, while Athletic Club stands at 35%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The expected goals for Levante are 1.77, closely followed by Athletic Club with 1.74. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Levante, occurring at an 8% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Levante has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches, while Athletic Club has seen two draws, two wins, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Levante without a win, having drawn three times and lost seven. Our model indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 71%.
Levante and Athletic Club team news
Levante news
- A. Primo — shoulder injury
- H. Sotelo — knee injury
- K. Etta Eyong — injury
Athletic Club news
- D. Vivian — hamstring injury
- G. Guruzeta — hamstring injury
- P. Canales — muscle injury
- U. Egiluz — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Levante and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Levante and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Levante
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Levante vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | 3.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 39.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Athletic Club | 34.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% |
| No | 28.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levante win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Levante vs Athletic Club stats
Levante and Athletic Club recent form
| Levante |
LLDWDL |
| Athletic Club |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Levante and Athletic Club season so far
Levante record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Athletic Club record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levante vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Athletic Club | Levante | La Liga | 4-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Levante | Athletic Club | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-03-07 | Athletic Club | Levante | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-11-19 | Levante | Athletic Club | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-04 | Levante | Athletic Club | Copa del Rey | 1-2 |
| 2021-02-26 | Levante | Athletic Club | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-11 | Athletic Club | Levante | Copa del Rey | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | Athletic Club | Levante | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2020-07-12 | Levante | Athletic Club | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-10 | Athletic Club | Levante | La Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Levante vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 27.7%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.62 | 2.23 |
| 888Sport | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.52 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 3.51 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 3.41 | 2.14 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| onexbet | 3.27 | 3.58 | 2.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .