La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Levante vs Athletic Club

3 – 1 Full time

20′Roger Brugué
22′Roger Brugué
45′Johaneko Louis-JeanPeio Canales
45′Mikel JauregizarIñaki Williams
67′Alex Berenguer
67′Aïssa Mandi
72′Petar RatkovKarl Etta Eyong
72′Iván RomeroOriol Rey
72′Roger BruguéVíctor García
73′Aymeric Laporte
77′Karl Etta Eyong
80′Jeremy Toljan
81′Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaAitor Paredes
81′Hugo Rincón LumbrerasAlejandro Rego Mora
81′Robert Navarro MuñozNico Williams
83′Jeremy ToljanNacho Pérez Gómez
85′Thiago Cruz FernandezPaco Cortés
90′Yuri Berchiche

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, ValenciaReferee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Levante 30%
Draw 28%
Athletic Club 42%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 4
38 Possession % 62
3 Corners 9
13 Fouls 12
3 Saves 4
254 Accurate passes 458

Levante vs Athletic Club overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Levante vs Athletic Club

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLevanteDrawAthletic Club
Model40.0%25.6%34.4%
Market26.1%28.8%45.1%
Final29.6%28.0%42.4%
Edge+3.5%-0.8%-2.7%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Athletic Club

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Levante ↓ / Athletic Club → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 5%

Levante and Athletic Club expected goals

Levante 1.77
Athletic Club 1.72

Total expected goals: 3.48

Levante and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings

Levante

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Athletic Club

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Levante vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction

Levante 3 – 1 Athletic Club

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Levante vs Athletic Club markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Athletic Club 42.4% 2.36 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.2% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Levante29.6%
Draw28.0%
Athletic Club42.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.2%
Under 2.530.8%
Both teams to scoreYes71.0%
No29.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.6%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)70.4%
Handicap -1Athletic Club win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.1%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-18.3%
1-27.7%

Levante vs Athletic Club stats

Levante and Athletic Club recent form

newest first
Levante DDLLDW
Athletic Club DDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Levante and Athletic Club going into this match

league record before kick-off

Levante record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Athletic Club record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Levante vs Athletic Club head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Levante wins 3Draws 7Athletic Club wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08Athletic ClubLevanteLa Liga4-2
2025-11-29LevanteAthletic ClubLa Liga0-2
2022-03-07Athletic ClubLevanteLa Liga3-1
2021-11-19LevanteAthletic ClubLa Liga0-0
2021-03-04LevanteAthletic ClubCopa del Rey1-2
2021-02-26LevanteAthletic ClubLa Liga1-1
2021-02-11Athletic ClubLevanteCopa del Rey1-1
2020-10-18Athletic ClubLevanteLa Liga2-0
2020-07-12LevanteAthletic ClubLa Liga1-2
2019-11-10Athletic ClubLevanteLa Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Levante vs Athletic Club odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 28.5%, away 45.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.05 3.35 2.25
1xBet 3.74 3.44 2.19
888Sport 3.10 3.30 2.25
Bet365 3.60 3.30 2.10
BetVictor 3.70 3.25 2.10
Betano 3.65 3.30 2.12
Betfair 3.60 3.30 2.10
Dafabet 3.65 3.35 2.15
Marathonbet 3.64 3.35 2.13
Pinnacle 3.79 3.41 2.12
SBO 3.38 3.26 2.09
Unibet 3.15 3.40 2.23
William Hill 3.40 3.20 2.10
onexbet 3.27 3.58 2.33
winamax_de 3.15 3.40 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.65 ▲ +0.38
X 3.30 ▼ -0.28
2 2.11 ▼ -0.22

47 snapshots recorded, from .