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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

0 – 1 Full time

45′Bil NsongoAdama Traoré
52′Miguel Sierra
57′Riki RodríguezMario Soriano
57′Yeremay HernándezJonathan Asp Jensen
59′Angeliño
61′Luismi CruzGiacomo Quagliata
65′Kike Salas
76′Lucas StassinIsaac Romero
77′Lorenzo Amatucci
79′Jon Guridi
81′Jon GuridiGiorgi Kochorashvili
81′Felix CorreiaJulio Diaz
83′José María GiménezZakaria Eddahchouri
90′Miguel SierraRobbie Ure
90′Isaac Romero
90′Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez

Estadio de Riazor, La CorunaReferee: A. Hernandez

Deportivo La Coruna 43%
Draw 30%
Sevilla 27%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
53 Possession % 47
4 Corners 4
15 Fouls 16
5 Saves 3
428 Accurate passes 364

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo La CorunaDrawSevilla
Model60.2%26.6%13.2%
Market36.7%31.2%32.1%
Final42.6%30.1%27.3%
Edge+23.5%-4.6%-18.9%

Confidence: Medium

Why Deportivo La Coruna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.76.
  • The market prices Deportivo La Coruna below the model: +23.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo La C ↓ / Sevilla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 12% 13% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 10%

Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla expected goals

Deportivo La Coruna 1.73
Sevilla 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.49

Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla attack and defence ratings

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Sevilla

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla: result vs prediction

Deportivo La Coruna 0 – 1 Sevilla

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo La Coruna 42.6% 2.35 +23.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.8% 2.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo La Coruna42.6%
Draw30.1%
Sevilla27.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.7%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Deportivo La Coruna win36.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss39.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-012.5%
1-011.7%

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla stats

Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla recent form

newest first
Deportivo La Coruna DWWDDL
Sevilla WDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo La Coruna record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sevilla record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Deportivo La Coruna wins 3Draws 7Sevilla wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-04-17Deportivo La CorunaSevillaLa Liga0-0
2017-12-02SevillaDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga2-0
2017-04-08SevillaDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga4-2
2016-11-19Deportivo La CorunaSevillaLa Liga2-3
2016-04-17SevillaDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-1
2015-12-05Deportivo La CorunaSevillaLa Liga1-1
2015-03-07Deportivo La CorunaSevillaLa Liga3-4
2014-10-05SevillaDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga4-1
2013-02-15SevillaDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga3-1
2012-09-24Deportivo La CorunaSevillaLa Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 30.8%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.46 3.05 2.98
1xBet 2.67 3.14 3.10
888Sport 2.45 3.00 3.00
Bet365 2.62 3.00 3.00
BetVictor 2.50 3.25 2.88
Betano 2.62 3.10 2.90
Betfair 2.63 3.10 3.00
Dafabet 2.50 3.15 3.00
Marathonbet 2.60 3.08 3.00
Pinnacle 2.68 3.03 3.08
SBO 2.36 2.90 2.75
Unibet 2.48 3.05 2.95
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.90
onexbet 2.43 3.31 3.31

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.19
X 3.08 ▼ -0.23
2 3.00 ▼ -0.31

21 snapshots recorded, from .