Malaga
vs
Villarreal
1 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | Carlos Dotor | ||
| 34′ | José Salinas | ||
| 37′ | Santi ComesañaPape Gueye | ||
| 40′ | Alberto Moleiro | ||
| 42′ | Ilias Akhomach Chakkour | ||
| 45′ | Pape Gueye | ||
| 45′ | Juan CruzDani Lorenzo | ||
| 45′ | José SalinasRafael Garrido Hierro | ||
| 61′ | Izan MerinoJoaquín Muñoz | ||
| 61′ | Carlos DotorAdrian Nino | ||
| 63′ | Ayoze PérezGeorges Mikautadze | ||
| 63′ | Ilias Akhomach ChakkourCarlos Romero | ||
| 68′ | David Larrubia | ||
| 70′ | Einar Galilea | ||
| 75′ | Carlos PugaRamón Enríquez | ||
| 79′ | Ramón Enríquez | ||
| 80′ | Alberto MoleiroÁlvaro Santiago Mouriño González | ||
| 80′ | Nathan-Dylan SalibaCarlos Macià | ||
| 85′ | Alfonso Herrero | ||
| 86′ | Pape Gueye |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 282 | Accurate passes | 538 |
Malaga vs Villarreal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malaga vs Villarreal
| Probability | Malaga | Draw | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 26.7% | 27.2% |
| Market | 25.6% | 25.0% | 49.4% |
| Final | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% |
| Edge | +20.5% | +1.7% | -22.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malaga and Villarreal expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Malaga and Villarreal attack and defence ratings
Malaga
Villarreal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malaga vs Villarreal: result vs prediction
Malaga 1 – 3 Villarreal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malaga vs Villarreal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 43.9% | 2.28 | -22.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malaga | 30.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Villarreal | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.2% | |
| Loss | 72.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Malaga vs Villarreal stats
Malaga and Villarreal recent form
| Malaga |
DDLDLW |
| Villarreal |
LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malaga and Villarreal going into this match
Malaga record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Villarreal record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malaga vs Villarreal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-01 | Malaga | Villarreal | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-05 | Villarreal | Malaga | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2017-02-12 | Villarreal | Malaga | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-10 | Malaga | Villarreal | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2016-02-13 | Villarreal | Malaga | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2015-09-23 | Malaga | Villarreal | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2015-05-17 | Villarreal | Malaga | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2015-01-10 | Malaga | Villarreal | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2014-04-21 | Malaga | Villarreal | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2013-11-29 | Villarreal | Malaga | La Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malaga vs Villarreal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 25.0%, away 49.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.85 | 3.94 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.95 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.75 | 3.84 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 3.78 | 3.90 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.53 | 3.61 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| unibet_fr | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.92 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .