Villarreal
vs
Real Betis
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Gerard Moreno | ||
| 39′ | Cucho Hernández | ||
| 43′ | Natan Bernardo de Souza | ||
| 54′ | Pape GueyeNathan-Dylan Saliba | ||
| 55′ | Tajon BuchananAlberto Moleiro | ||
| 57′ | IscoDani Ceballos | ||
| 62′ | Gerard MorenoTani Oluwaseyi | ||
| 66′ | Abde EzzalzouliAntony Matheus dos Santos | ||
| 67′ | Rodrigo RiquelmeNelson Deossa | ||
| 76′ | Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezAlex Freeman | ||
| 76′ | Nicolas PépéAyoze Pérez | ||
| 84′ | Pablo FornalsFacundo Bernal | ||
| 84′ | Cucho HernándezGiovani Lo Celso | ||
| 84′ | Renato Veiga |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Saves | 7 |
| 552 | Accurate passes | 314 |
Villarreal vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Villarreal vs Real Betis
| Probability | Villarreal | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.3% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Market | 48.7% | 24.6% | 26.7% |
| Final | 53.6% | 22.6% | 23.8% |
| Edge | +19.6% | -7.9% | -11.6% |
Why Villarreal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.98 vs 1.54.
- The market prices Villarreal below the model: +19.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Villarreal and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.52
Villarreal and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Villarreal
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Villarreal vs Real Betis: result vs prediction
Villarreal 1 – 2 Real Betis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Villarreal vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 53.6% | 1.86 | +19.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 53.6% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Real Betis | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% |
| No | 24.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 50.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.1% | |
| 4-1 | 5.8% |
Villarreal vs Real Betis stats
Villarreal and Real Betis recent form
| Villarreal |
LLLDDW |
| Real Betis |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Villarreal vs Real Betis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Real Betis | Villarreal | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Villarreal | Real Betis | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Real Betis | Villarreal | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Villarreal | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-10 | Real Betis | Villarreal | La Liga | 2-3 |
| 2023-08-13 | Villarreal | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-12 | Villarreal | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Real Betis | Villarreal | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-06 | Real Betis | Villarreal | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2021-10-03 | Villarreal | Real Betis | La Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Villarreal vs Real Betis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 24.6%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.55 |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.76 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.85 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.94 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.94 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.41 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| tipico_de | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
51 snapshots recorded, from .