Lille
vs
Real Betis
2 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | A. Ueda | ||
| 33′ | M. Bartra | ||
| 36′ | Alexsandro | ||
| 46′ | N. BentalebN. Mukau | ||
| 49′ | M. Bartra | ||
| 53′ | T. Parrott | ||
| 56′ | Ethan Mbappé | ||
| 56′ | Natan | ||
| 61′ | Facundo Bernal | ||
| 61′ | G. PerrinD. Bakwa | ||
| 61′ | NatanV. Gomez | ||
| 61′ | IscoA. Fidalgo | ||
| 67′ | F. BernalM. Roca | ||
| 71′ | Marc Roca | ||
| 77′ | B. AndreM. Kjaergaard | ||
| 77′ | A. UedaO. Giroud | ||
| 81′ | J. FirpoF. Garcia | ||
| 81′ | R. RiquelmeN. Deossa | ||
| 88′ | R. PerraudB. Onal | ||
| 90′ | Olivier Giroud |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 392 | Accurate passes | 494 |
Lille vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lille vs Real Betis
| Probability | Lille | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 24.5% | 19.7% |
| Market | 43.0% | 27.8% | 29.1% |
| Final | 46.2% | 27.0% | 26.8% |
| Edge | +12.7% | -3.4% | -9.4% |
Why Lille
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.05.
- The market prices Lille below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lille and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Lille and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Lille
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lille vs Real Betis: result vs prediction
Lille 2 – 3 Real Betis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa — match page
- AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — match page
- FC Porto vs Manchester City — team news & stats
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- VfB Stuttgart v Viking — match page
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
Before and after this match
Lille vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 46.2% | 2.16 | +12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 46.2% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Real Betis | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lille win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Lille vs Real Betis stats
Lille and Real Betis recent form
| Lille |
WDWLWD |
| Real Betis |
WLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lille vs Real Betis head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lille vs Real Betis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 27.8%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.52 | 3.42 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.52 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.53 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.26 | 3.05 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .