UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking

3 – 1 Full time

20′E. Demirovic
22′Z. Tripic
26′E. Demirovic
32′E. Demirovic
42′Kristoffer Askildsen
54′Peter Christiansen
58′Joe Bell
62′J. LewelingJ. Vagnoman
62′E. DemirovicD. Pejcinovic
62′J. DalandH. Falchener
62′J. BellE. Botheim
71′F. JeltschR. Hendriks
71′B. El KhannoussL. Sauer
71′K. HaugenV. Auklend
71′T. MoiS. Kvia-Egeskog
84′H. HeggheimH. J. Haugen
86′M. MittelstadtA. Al Dakhil

MHP Arena, StuttgartReferee: Nenad Minaković, Serbia

VfB Stuttgart 66%
Draw 16%
Viking 18%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
62 Possession % 38
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
540 Accurate passes 274

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Viking

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVfB StuttgartDrawViking
Model36.6%22.4%41.0%
Market75.9%14.3%9.7%
Final66.1%16.3%17.5%
Edge-39.3%+8.1%+31.2%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

VfB Stuttgart ↓ / Viking → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

VfB Stuttgart and Viking expected goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.91
Viking 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.93

VfB Stuttgart and Viking attack and defence ratings

VfB Stuttgart

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Viking

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking: result vs prediction

VfB Stuttgart 3 – 1 Viking

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 VfB Stuttgart 66.1% 1.51 -39.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.1% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.6% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 83.7% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2VfB Stuttgart66.1%
Draw16.3%
Viking17.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.1%
Under 2.524.9%
Both teams to scoreYes74.6%
No25.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.5%
12 (either side)83.7%
X2 (draw or away)33.9%
Handicap -1VfB Stuttgart win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.3%
1-27.7%
2-27.3%

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking stats

VfB Stuttgart and Viking recent form

newest first
VfB Stuttgart WLWLDW
Viking DWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

VfB Stuttgart vs Viking odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 14.3%, away 9.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.25 6.60 8.20
1xBet 1.30 6.65 10.40
888Sport 1.25 6.00 9.50
Bet365 1.25 7.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.22 7.00 10.50
Betano 1.29 6.60 10.25
Betfair 1.25 6.50 10.00
Dafabet 1.27 7.00 9.20
Marathonbet 1.28 6.55 10.25
Pinnacle 1.25 6.76 10.43
SBO 1.27 6.28 8.10
Superbet 1.27 6.70 8.50
Unibet 1.24 6.75 10.50
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▲ +0.01
X 6.62 ▲ +0.11
2 9.75 ▼ -1.75

10 snapshots recorded, from .