La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Barcelona vs Racing Santander

7 – 2 Full time

8′João Cancelo
22′Pedro Felipe
25′Raphinha
30′M. Gueye
36′Asier Villalibre
42′Raphinha
45′Lamine Yamal
45′Joan GarcíaW. Szczęsny
59′Asier VillalibreIñigo Vicente
59′Pedro FelipeIker Luque
59′Juan Carlos AranaM. Zabiri
60′K. Adeyemi
60′M. Zabiri
61′RodriMarc Bernal
61′PedriGavi
65′M. Zabiri
67′Raphinha
69′RaphinhaGabriel Jesus
69′João Cancelo
78′João CanceloAlejandro Balde
78′Íñigo Sainz-MazaG. Guliashvili
79′Gabriel Jesus
86′Facundo GonzálezJorge Salinas
89′Lamine Yamal

Spotify Camp Nou, BarcelonaReferee: J. Munuera

Barcelona 86%
Draw 8%
Racing Santander 6%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

30 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
69 Possession % 31
18 Corners 0
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
589 Accurate passes 226

Barcelona vs Racing Santander overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barcelona vs Racing Santander

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarcelonaDrawRacing Santander
Model72.7%14.6%12.6%
Market90.0%6.4%3.6%
Final85.7%8.5%5.9%
Edge-17.2%+8.2%+9.0%

Confidence: Medium

Why Barcelona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.28 vs 1.54.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barcelona ↓ / Racing Santand → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 10% 15% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

Barcelona and Racing Santander expected goals

Barcelona 3.28
Racing Santander 1.54

Total expected goals: 4.82

Barcelona and Racing Santander attack and defence ratings

Barcelona

Attack 1.86 +86%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Racing Santander

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barcelona vs Racing Santander: result vs prediction

Barcelona 7 – 2 Racing Santander

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Barcelona vs Racing Santander markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barcelona 85.7% 1.17 -17.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.3% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.7% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.1% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 Barcelona win 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barcelona85.7%
Draw8.5%
Racing Santander5.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.3%
Under 2.512.7%
Both teams to scoreYes76.7%
No23.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.1%
12 (either side)91.5%
X2 (draw or away)14.3%
Handicap -1Barcelona win56.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss27.1%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.2%
2-16.3%
4-16.2%

Barcelona vs Racing Santander stats

Barcelona and Racing Santander recent form

newest first
Barcelona WWWWWW
Racing Santander WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barcelona and Racing Santander going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barcelona record

  • They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 4.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Racing Santander record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Barcelona vs Racing Santander head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

5Barcelona wins 0Draws 0Racing Santander wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-15Racing SantanderBarcelonaCopa del Rey0-2
2012-03-11Racing SantanderBarcelonaLa Liga0-2
2011-10-15BarcelonaRacing SantanderLa Liga3-0
2011-01-22BarcelonaRacing SantanderLa Liga3-0
2010-08-29Racing SantanderBarcelonaLa Liga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barcelona vs Racing Santander odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 88.7%, draw 7.3%, away 4.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.09 9.70 19.50
1xBet 1.08 17.00 34.00
888Sport 1.10 11.00 21.00
Bet365 1.06 15.00 23.00
BetVictor 1.05 15.00 29.00
Betano 1.10 13.00 24.00
Betfair 1.06 16.00 31.00
Dafabet 1.09 12.00 21.00
Marathonbet 1.07 15.00 34.00
Pinnacle 1.07 14.77 26.71
SBO 1.06 10.12 14.44
Unibet 1.10 10.50 19.00
William Hill 1.07 13.00 26.00
onexbet 1.13 11.10 24.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.07 ▼ -0.06
X 15.00 ▲ +3.90
2 26.71 ▲ +2.71

21 snapshots recorded, from .