Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray

0 – 1 Full time

61′L. SaneR. Leao
61′B. YilmazY. Akgun
61′Gabriel SaraI. Gundogan
70′E. ElmaliI. Jakobs
72′T. GouveiaV. Orakpo
72′S. UcanO. Ulgun
77′R. LeaoD. Gul
80′R. LuisG. Erdem
88′I. Egribayat
90′V. Osimhen
90′O. DiabateP. Martor
90′F. UzumS. Koita

Eryaman Stadium, AnkaraReferee: R. Coskunses

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 18%
Draw 19%
Galatasaray 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 4
31 Possession % 69
9 Corners 10
12 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 6
145 Accurate passes 460

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGençlerbirliği S.K.DrawGalatasaray
Model31.8%22.7%45.5%
Market13.2%18.1%68.8%
Final17.8%19.2%63.0%
Edge+18.7%+4.6%-23.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Galatasaray

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gençlerbirliği ↓ / Galatasaray → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray expected goals

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.72
Galatasaray 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.78

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray attack and defence ratings

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Galatasaray

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray: result vs prediction

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0 – 1 Galatasaray

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Galatasaray 63.0% 1.59 -23.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.7% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.4% 1.38 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gençlerbirliği S.K.17.8%
Draw19.2%
Galatasaray63.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.7%
Under 2.527.3%
Both teams to scoreYes72.4%
No27.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.0%
12 (either side)80.8%
X2 (draw or away)82.2%
Handicap -1Galatasaray win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
1-28.3%
2-27.2%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray stats

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray recent form

newest first
Gençlerbirliği S.K. DLLLDW
Galatasaray LWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gençlerbirliği S.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.

Galatasaray record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins 2Draws 6Galatasaray wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Türkiye Kupası0-2
2026-04-18Gençlerbirliği S.K.GalatasaraySüper Lig1-2
2025-11-22GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig3-2
2023-02-22GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs2-2
2021-05-02Gençlerbirliği S.K.GalatasaraySüper Lig0-2
2021-01-09GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig6-0
2020-03-01GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig3-0
2019-10-05Gençlerbirliği S.K.GalatasaraySüper Lig0-0
2018-04-09Gençlerbirliği S.K.GalatasaraySüper Lig1-0
2017-11-03GalatasarayGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig5-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.1%, draw 18.4%, away 68.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.50 5.51 1.40
Bet365 7.50 5.25 1.30
BetVictor 7.00 4.80 1.33
Betano 7.20 4.80 1.38
Betfair 7.50 5.00 1.33
Dafabet 6.80 5.20 1.41
Marathonbet 6.95 5.10 1.36
Pinnacle 7.22 5.41 1.40
SBO 5.61 4.36 1.36
William Hill 6.50 4.80 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.11 —
X 5.17 ▼ -0.12
2 1.36 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .