Konyaspor
vs
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Garuda Lions Prediction: Konyaspor
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Konyaspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Probability | Konyaspor | Draw | Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 31.5% | 24.0% |
| Market | 50.5% | 26.7% | 22.8% |
| Final | 49.0% | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.2% | +0.3% |
Why Konyaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (our 49.0% × 1.95 − 1).
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. match preview
Konyaspor faces Gençlerbirliği S.K. in a Süper Lig match on October 25, 2026. Konyaspor holds a 49% probability of winning, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. has a 23% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Konyaspor, with an expected goals tally of 1.26 for Konyaspor and 0.86 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.
In terms of recent form, Konyaspor has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. has yet to secure a win, with one draw and five losses. The head-to-head record over the last nine encounters shows an even split, with each team claiming three victories and three matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. team news
Konyaspor news
- A. Demirbag — injury
- E. Destan — knee injury
- U. Yazgili — injury
Gençlerbirliği S.K. news
- A. Traore — muscle injury
- C. Niasse — muscle injury
- K. Rodrigues — muscle injury
- P. Etebo — inactive
- P. Pereira — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. attack and defence ratings
Konyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 49.0% | 2.04 | -1.5% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 49.0% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konyaspor win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. stats
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. recent form
| Konyaspor |
LDDWLL |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. season so far
Konyaspor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Konyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2021-09-05 | Konyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2021-02-03 | Konyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2020-09-19 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2020-06-14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2019-11-02 | Konyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2018-01-26 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2017-08-21 | Konyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 26.7%, away 23.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.66 | 4.27 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.60 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.52 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.46 | 4.51 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.17 | 3.71 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .