Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Amed vs Konyaspor

1 – 0 Full time

18′M. Ibrahimoglu
37′D. Turuc
51′F. Soyalp
63′F. SoyalpG. Gul
63′R. LutinA. T. Bulbul
63′J. MulekaMostafa Mohamed
72′G. OrbanM. Diagne
74′D. TurucJ. Dompe
74′D. GoncalvesE. Colley
80′M. IbrahimogluE. Bardhi
86′M. Diagne
88′A. Masuaku
89′E. KrasniqiA. Cisse
89′D. SabaC. Ustundag

Diyarbakir Stadium, DiyarbakırReferee: O. Ergun

Amed 54%
Draw 25%
Konyaspor 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
7 Corners 2
17 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
1 Saves 4
369 Accurate passes 325

Amed vs Konyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Amed vs Konyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmedDrawKonyaspor
Model63.5%22.0%14.5%
Market51.2%26.6%22.2%
Final54.2%25.5%20.3%
Edge+12.4%-4.6%-7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Amed

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Amed below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Amed ↓ / Konyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Amed and Konyaspor expected goals

Amed 2.08
Konyaspor 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.99

Amed and Konyaspor attack and defence ratings

Amed

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Konyaspor

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Amed vs Konyaspor: result vs prediction

Amed 1 – 0 Konyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Amed vs Konyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Amed 54.2% 1.84 +12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.3% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Amed win 40.5% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Amed54.2%
Draw25.5%
Konyaspor20.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.3%
Under 2.542.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.7%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1Amed win40.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss36.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.9%
1-110.5%
2-19.9%

Amed vs Konyaspor stats

Amed and Konyaspor recent form

newest first
Amed DWWDWL
Konyaspor DDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Amed and Konyaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Amed record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Konyaspor record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Amed vs Konyaspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Amed vs Konyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.5%, away 22.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.86 3.72 4.42
Bet365 1.80 3.40 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.00
Betano 1.83 3.50 4.20
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.80
Dafabet 1.94 3.55 4.00
Marathonbet 1.79 3.58 4.25
Pinnacle 1.83 3.68 4.60
SBO 1.91 3.07 3.33
William Hill 1.83 3.40 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▼ -0.19
X 3.49 ▼ -0.01
2 4.17 ▲ +0.65

12 snapshots recorded, from .