Gençlerbirliği S.K.
vs
Amed
2 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Thalisson Kelven | ||
| 23′ | I. Egribayat | ||
| 25′ | D. Saba | ||
| 46′ | A. DursunS. Ucan | ||
| 53′ | U. Meras | ||
| 54′ | R. Luis | ||
| 57′ | M. Baltaci | ||
| 57′ | D. Saba | ||
| 57′ | L. Dellova | ||
| 61′ | M. KhalilA. T. Bulbul | ||
| 65′ | F. Uzum | ||
| 66′ | F. UzumH. Aydar | ||
| 67′ | S. Ballet | ||
| 74′ | A. Lafont | ||
| 81′ | R. LuisV. Orakpo | ||
| 81′ | F. TongyaP. Martor | ||
| 84′ | D. SabaM. Acer | ||
| 84′ | L. DellovaM. Yesil | ||
| 90′ | F. SoyalpC. Ustundag | ||
| 90′ | E. KrasniqiM. Diagne | ||
| 90′ | Thalisson Kelven | ||
| 90′ | T. GouveiaE. Cavusoglu |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 247 | Accurate passes | 269 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed
| Probability | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Draw | Amed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.8% | 17.8% | 69.4% |
| Market | 29.3% | 27.4% | 43.3% |
| Final | 25.1% | 25.0% | 49.8% |
| Edge | -4.1% | -2.4% | +6.5% |
Why Amed
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed attack and defence ratings
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Amed
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed: result vs prediction
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 – 2 Amed
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 49.8% | 2.01 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 25.1% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Amed | 49.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 48.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | |
| 1-3 | 8.0% |
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed stats
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed recent form
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
LLLDWW |
| Amed |
WWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed going into this match
Gençlerbirliği S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Amed record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- 65% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 | Amed | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2017-01-08 | Amed | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Türkiye Kupası | 0-5 |
| 2016-12-29 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | Türkiye Kupası | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 27.4%, away 43.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.67 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.52 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.42 | 3.47 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 3.10 | 3.26 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .