Gençlerbirliği S.K.
vs
Amed
Garuda Lions Prediction: Amed
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed
| Probability | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Draw | Amed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.7% | 17.7% | 69.5% |
| Market | 29.8% | 27.2% | 43.0% |
| Final | 25.5% | 24.8% | 49.7% |
| Edge | -17.0% | -9.5% | +26.5% |
Why Amed
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below the model: +26.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed match preview
Gençlerbirliği S.K. faces Amed in a Süper Lig match on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a significant advantage for Amed, with a 70% probability of winning compared to Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games, as reflected in the 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.
Recent form highlights contrasting performances, with Gençlerbirliği S.K. recording three losses in their last five matches, while Amed has secured four wins in the same period. Expected goals suggest a challenging outing for Gençlerbirliği S.K., with an expected goal tally of 1.08 against Amed's 2.61. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the model's predictions.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed team news
Gençlerbirliği S.K. news
- C. Niasse — muscle injury
- K. Rodrigues — muscle injury
Amed news
- A. Cisse — suspended
- D. Demir — knee injury
- G. Gul — calf injury
- M. Yildirim — muscle injury
- Y. Sor — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed attack and defence ratings
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Amed
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 49.7% | 2.01 | +26.5% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 25.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Amed | 49.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 48.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | |
| 1-3 | 8.0% |
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed stats
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed recent form
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
LLLDWW |
| Amed |
WWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed season so far
Gençlerbirliği S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Amed record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- 65% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 | Amed | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2017-01-08 | Amed | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Türkiye Kupası | 0-5 |
| 2016-12-29 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | Türkiye Kupası | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 27.2%, away 43.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.67 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.52 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28 | 3.57 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 3.00 | 3.24 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .