Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Amed vs Beşiktaş

3 – 2 Full time

13′G. Orban
22′D. Saba
26′M. Khalil
33′E. Krasniqi
38′I. Fakili
45′D. Bates
46′M. KhalilA. Cisse
46′T. DjaloE. Topcu
46′E. PokuV. Cerny
46′J. OlaitanF. Miretti
46′M. Murillo
55′D. Vlahovic
58′E. Agbadou
59′F. Soyalp
64′L. Dellova
71′I. FakiliM. Rashica
76′G. OrbanC. Ustundag
78′A. Cisse
79′E. AgbadouOh Hyeon-Gyu
83′U. MerasA. T. Bulbul
84′A. Cisse
84′A. Cisse
86′D. SabaM. Yesil
90′A. Lafont
90′O. Kokcu
90′E. Topcu
90′M. Yesil
90′O. Kokcu
90′R. Raveloson

Diyarbakir Stadium, DiyarbakırReferee: A. Sansalan

Amed 27%
Draw 25%
Beşiktaş 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 8
31 Possession % 69
1 Corners 10
25 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
5 Saves 5
200 Accurate passes 529

Amed vs Beşiktaş overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Amed vs Beşiktaş

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmedDrawBeşiktaş
Model35.2%26.1%38.7%
Market24.3%25.0%50.7%
Final27.0%25.3%47.7%
Edge+10.9%+1.1%-12.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Beşiktaş

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Amed ↓ / Beşiktaş → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Amed and Beşiktaş expected goals

Amed 1.50
Beşiktaş 1.58

Total expected goals: 3.08

Amed and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings

Amed

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Beşiktaş

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Amed vs Beşiktaş: result vs prediction

Amed 3 – 2 Beşiktaş

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Amed vs Beşiktaş markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beşiktaş 47.7% 2.10 -12.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Amed27.0%
Draw25.3%
Beşiktaş47.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.3%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)73.0%
Handicap -1Beşiktaş win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%

Amed vs Beşiktaş stats

Amed and Beşiktaş recent form

newest first
Amed WDWLWD
Beşiktaş WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Amed and Beşiktaş going into this match

league record before kick-off

Amed record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • 73% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Beşiktaş record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Amed vs Beşiktaş head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Amed vs Beşiktaş odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.3%, draw 25.0%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.03 3.91 1.90
Bet365 3.75 3.70 1.83
BetVictor 3.80 3.80 1.83
Betano 4.05 4.00 1.90
Betfair 3.90 3.70 1.85
Marathonbet 3.86 3.75 1.82
Pinnacle 4.04 3.84 1.90
SBO 3.72 3.55 1.80
William Hill 3.75 3.60 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.86 ▼ -0.64
X 3.75 ▼ -0.25
2 1.85 ▲ +0.16

14 snapshots recorded, from .