Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Amed vs Başakşehir

5 – 0 Full time

6′Christopher Operi
45′E. Bayram
46′O. SahinerM. Karbownik
46′A. Skov OlsenY. Sari
46′J. KaluzinskiB. Yildirim
51′G. Orban
54′Umut Güneş
55′G. Orban
60′Ermal Krasniqi
63′M. KhalilA. Cisse
63′A. FayzullaevI. Brnic
74′G. Orban
79′E. KrasniqiA. T. Bulbul
79′G. OrbanM. Diagne
82′E. ShomurodovB. Ozcan
83′M. Diagne
84′F. SoyalpC. Ustundag
85′S. BalletR. Lutin

Şilbe Spor Kompleksi, DiyarbakırReferee: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye

Amed 42%
Draw 27%
Başakşehir 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
43 Possession % 57
2 Corners 3
8 Fouls 8
6 Offsides 0
1 Saves 1
291 Accurate passes 382

Amed vs Başakşehir overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Amed vs Başakşehir

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmedDrawBaşakşehir
Model51.6%24.2%24.2%
Market38.1%27.4%34.5%
Final41.5%26.6%31.9%
Edge+13.5%-3.2%-10.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Amed

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Amed below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Amed ↓ / Başakşehir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Amed and Başakşehir expected goals

Amed 1.93
Başakşehir 1.28

Total expected goals: 3.20

Amed and Başakşehir attack and defence ratings

Amed

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Başakşehir

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Amed vs Başakşehir: result vs prediction

Amed 5 – 0 Başakşehir

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Amed vs Başakşehir markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Amed 41.5% 2.41 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.4% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Amed41.5%
Draw26.6%
Başakşehir31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Amed win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss48.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.6%
2-07.6%

Amed vs Başakşehir stats

Amed and Başakşehir recent form

newest first
Amed DWLWDD
Başakşehir LDLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Amed vs Başakşehir head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Amed wins 2Draws 0Başakşehir wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-01-28BaşakşehirAmedTürkiye Kupası2-2
2015-12-23AmedBaşakşehirTürkiye Kupası2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Amed vs Başakşehir odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 27.1%, away 34.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.50 2.50
1xBet 2.54 3.62 2.78
Bet365 2.40 3.40 2.62
BetVictor 2.40 3.50 2.70
Betano 2.45 3.40 2.72
Betfair 2.45 3.40 2.70
Marathonbet 2.44 3.48 2.67
Pinnacle 2.51 3.58 2.81
SBO 2.38 3.05 2.48
William Hill 2.40 3.30 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.44 ▼ -0.17
X 3.40 ▼ -0.06
2 2.70 ▲ +0.15

12 snapshots recorded, from .