Alanyaspor
vs
Göztepe
2 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Juan Santos da Silva | ||
| 28′ | Rhaldney | ||
| 57′ | B. GezekY. Ozdemir | ||
| 58′ | RuanI. Hagi | ||
| 58′ | O. Ben AliBikoue | ||
| 60′ | A. AntunesE. Bekiroglu | ||
| 60′ | Andre HenriqueJanderson | ||
| 63′ | P. Fernandes | ||
| 65′ | Ianis Hagi | ||
| 72′ | Nuno Lima | ||
| 73′ | Juan | ||
| 75′ | G. Makouta | ||
| 77′ | P. FernandesI. Kaya | ||
| 79′ | A. MatosF. Anjorin | ||
| 79′ | JuanS. Armstrong | ||
| 82′ | Arda Kurtulan | ||
| 90′ | M. EliaHwang Ui-Jo | ||
| 90′ | RhaldneyB. Boke |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 365 | Accurate passes | 184 |
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alanyaspor vs Göztepe
| Probability | Alanyaspor | Draw | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 23.9% | 20.5% |
| Market | 43.0% | 28.5% | 28.6% |
| Final | 46.1% | 27.3% | 26.5% |
| Edge | +12.6% | -4.6% | -8.1% |
Why Alanyaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Alanyaspor below the model: +12.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alanyaspor and Göztepe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Alanyaspor and Göztepe attack and defence ratings
Alanyaspor
Göztepe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe: result vs prediction
Alanyaspor 2 – 2 Göztepe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alanyaspor | 46.1% | 2.17 | +12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alanyaspor | 46.1% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Göztepe | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alanyaspor win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.8% |
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe stats
Alanyaspor and Göztepe recent form
| Alanyaspor |
WLWDLW |
| Göztepe |
LLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Göztepe | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Alanyaspor | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Göztepe | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-23 | Alanyaspor | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Göztepe | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-2 |
| 2021-10-31 | Alanyaspor | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-04 | Alanyaspor | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-09 | Göztepe | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2020-06-27 | Göztepe | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 3-3 |
| 2020-01-10 | Alanyaspor | Göztepe | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 28.5%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.39 | 3.39 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.26 | 3.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.34 | 3.41 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.12 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .