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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK

3 – 0 Full time

15′Orkun Kökçü
21′E. Topcu
26′Kassoum Ouattara
27′L. Trossard
57′M. CardosoI. Diabate
66′Salih Özcan
67′N. MujakicY. Kirtay
67′M. RodriguezM. Fettahoglu
70′O. KokcuK. Kayra Yilmaz
71′S. OzcanW. Ndidi
71′V. CernyI. Fakili
73′O. OvacikliF. Ebosele
74′E. TozluG. Kerk
81′Y. Kirtay
83′M. MurilloT. Bulut
83′L. TrossardE. Poku

Tüpraş Stadyumu, IstanbulReferee: Gurcan Hasova, Türkiye

Beşiktaş 72%
Draw 18%
Erzurumspor FK 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
74 Possession % 26
10 Corners 1
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 4
0 Saves 4
627 Accurate passes 196

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBeşiktaşDrawErzurumspor FK
Model56.6%26.4%17.1%
Market77.0%15.5%7.5%
Final71.9%18.2%9.9%
Edge-20.5%+10.9%+9.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Beşiktaş

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Beşiktaş ↓ / Erzurumspor FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 9% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK expected goals

Beşiktaş 1.68
Erzurumspor FK 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.50

Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK attack and defence ratings

Beşiktaş

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Erzurumspor FK

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK: result vs prediction

Beşiktaş 3 – 0 Erzurumspor FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beşiktaş 71.9% 1.39 -20.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score No 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.1% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.4% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Beşiktaş71.9%
Draw18.2%
Erzurumspor FK9.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.5%
Under 2.554.5%
Both teams to scoreYes46.6%
No53.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.1%
12 (either side)81.8%
X2 (draw or away)28.1%
Handicap -1Beşiktaş win31.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss43.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.7%
1-112.5%
2-011.6%

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK stats

Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK recent form

newest first
Beşiktaş WWLLWW
Erzurumspor FK WDLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Beşiktaş wins 1Draws 2Erzurumspor FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-04-11Erzurumspor FKBeşiktaşSüper Lig2-4
2020-12-20BeşiktaşErzurumspor FKSüper Lig4-0
2020-01-22BeşiktaşErzurumspor FKTürkiye Kupası2-3
2020-01-15Erzurumspor FKBeşiktaşTürkiye Kupası3-2
2019-01-25BeşiktaşErzurumspor FKSüper Lig1-1
2018-08-19Erzurumspor FKBeşiktaşSüper Lig1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.5%, draw 16.8%, away 8.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.30 5.10 9.40
1xBet 1.23 6.92 13.50
888Sport 1.25 5.00 10.00
Bet365 1.22 5.75 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 6.00 13.00
Betano 1.28 5.10 10.25
Betfair 1.25 5.50 11.00
Dafabet 1.29 5.60 10.00
Marathonbet 1.21 6.15 12.00
Pinnacle 1.22 6.62 13.61
SBO 1.25 4.81 7.53
Superbet 1.29 5.50 9.20
Unibet 1.28 5.40 10.50
William Hill 1.22 6.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 ▼ -0.16
X 6.08 ▲ +0.90
2 12.50 ▲ +3.90

14 snapshots recorded, from .