Fenerbahçe
vs
Beşiktaş
1 – 2 Full time
| 26′ | M. Skriniar | ||
| 38′ | R. Yilmaz | ||
| 45′ | Mason Greenwood | ||
| 45′ | Emirhan Topçu | ||
| 46′ | I. KahveciK. Akturkoglu | ||
| 46′ | R. YilmazK. Ouattara | ||
| 52′ | Ederson | ||
| 52′ | Milan Škriniar | ||
| 53′ | Dušan Vlahović | ||
| 59′ | Václav Černý | ||
| 64′ | V. CernyI. Fakili | ||
| 68′ | V. MuriqiR. Lukaku | ||
| 68′ | O. AydinD. Nene | ||
| 73′ | D. Vlahovic | ||
| 76′ | Mattéo Guendouzi | ||
| 76′ | J. OlaitanW. Ndidi | ||
| 77′ | E. TopcuT. Djalo | ||
| 84′ | M. GuendouziI. Yuksek | ||
| 85′ | D. VlahovicOh Hyeon-Gyu |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 342 | Accurate passes | 345 |
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş
| Probability | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
| Market | 44.4% | 27.9% | 27.8% |
| Final | 42.8% | 28.1% | 29.1% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +1.1% | +5.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş: result vs prediction
Fenerbahçe 1 – 2 Beşiktaş
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 42.8% | 2.34 | -6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 42.8% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Beşiktaş | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 8.9% | |
| 0-0 | 8.8% |
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş stats
Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş recent form
| Fenerbahçe |
WWWDLW |
| Beşiktaş |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Fenerbahçe | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Fenerbahçe | Beşiktaş | Türkiye Kupası | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Beşiktaş | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-04 | Fenerbahçe | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Beşiktaş | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Fenerbahçe | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Beşiktaş | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-02 | Fenerbahçe | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 2-4 |
| 2022-10-02 | Beşiktaş | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | Beşiktaş | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 26.2%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.45 | 3.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.32 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.41 | 3.48 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.36 | 3.58 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .