Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 4

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor

0 – 1 Full time

31′Attila Mocsi
40′I. HagiY. Ozdemir
57′P. FernandesM. Elia
57′A. UsluogluO. Ben Ali
64′E. BulutV. Mihaila
70′Z. Ariss
75′Q. LaciD. Varesanovic
75′T. AntalyaliI. Doicaru
80′F. AksoyB. Ozyurt
80′RuanHwang Ui-Jo
82′A. MocsiS. Bakayoko
82′Z. ArissA. Mebude
87′Meschak Elia

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, RizeReferee: Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy, Türkiye

Rizespor 48%
Draw 28%
Alanyaspor 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
65 Possession % 35
8 Corners 7
8 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 5
429 Accurate passes 208

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rizespor vs Alanyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRizesporDrawAlanyaspor
Model39.4%28.2%32.5%
Market51.2%27.3%21.4%
Final48.3%27.5%24.2%
Edge-11.9%+0.8%+11.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Rizespor

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rizespor ↓ / Alanyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Rizespor and Alanyaspor expected goals

Rizespor 1.43
Alanyaspor 1.28

Total expected goals: 2.70

Rizespor and Alanyaspor attack and defence ratings

Rizespor

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Alanyaspor

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor: result vs prediction

Rizespor 0 – 1 Alanyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rizespor 48.3% 2.07 -11.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rizespor48.3%
Draw27.5%
Alanyaspor24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes56.0%
No44.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.7%
Handicap -1Rizespor win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor stats

Rizespor and Alanyaspor recent form

newest first
Rizespor WLWDLW
Alanyaspor LWDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Rizespor wins 3Draws 5Alanyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-25RizesporAlanyasporSüper Lig1-1
2025-08-16AlanyasporRizesporSüper Lig0-0
2025-03-02RizesporAlanyasporSüper Lig3-1
2024-09-28AlanyasporRizesporSüper Lig1-0
2024-01-20AlanyasporRizesporSüper Lig2-1
2023-08-19RizesporAlanyasporSüper Lig0-0
2023-07-13AlanyasporRizesporFriendlies Clubs3-1
2022-04-03AlanyasporRizesporSüper Lig2-1
2021-11-05RizesporAlanyasporSüper Lig2-0
2021-08-03AlanyasporRizesporFriendlies Clubs2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 27.3%, away 21.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.45 4.20
1xBet 1.89 3.52 4.58
Bet365 1.80 3.40 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.50 4.33
Betano 1.90 3.45 4.75
Betfair 1.80 3.40 4.33
Dafabet 1.86 3.55 4.40
Marathonbet 1.82 3.38 4.40
Pinnacle 1.85 3.50 4.74
SBO 1.82 3.28 3.97
Superbet 1.85 3.50 4.25
Unibet 1.86 3.45 4.20
William Hill 1.80 3.20 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.06
X 3.45 ▲ +0.05
2 4.40 ▲ +0.38

16 snapshots recorded, from .