Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 4

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK

2 – 4 Full time

5′H. Dervisoglu
10′M. Abena
34′K. Kozlowski
45′K. Kozlowski
46′L. GugeshashviliA. Ozcimen
46′Andre HenriqueA. Antunes
46′E. YildirimO. Bayrak
52′Juan
55′Arda Kurtulan
62′A. MaximD. Camara
62′H. DervisogluT. Stewart
64′N. MiroshiF. Anjorin
66′Rhaldney
69′R. AkonnorS. Armstrong
69′K. CalhanogluA. Sylla
69′D. SorescuK. Gassama
72′Ogün Bayrak
76′Trivante Stewart
79′Sinclair Armstrong
82′V. GidadoO. Ozcicek
90′Drissa Camara
90′Juan

Gursel Aksel Stadium, IzmirReferee: Umit Ozturk, Türkiye

Göztepe 47%
Draw 27%
Gaziantep FK 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
8 Corners 3
18 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
234 Accurate passes 274

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGöztepeDrawGaziantep FK
Model44.5%26.1%29.4%
Market48.2%27.5%24.2%
Final47.3%27.2%25.5%
Edge-3.8%-1.4%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Göztepe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.33.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Göztepe ↓ / Gaziantep FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Göztepe and Gaziantep FK expected goals

Göztepe 1.67
Gaziantep FK 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.00

Göztepe and Gaziantep FK attack and defence ratings

Göztepe

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Gaziantep FK

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK: result vs prediction

Göztepe 2 – 4 Gaziantep FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Göztepe 47.3% 2.11 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.5% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Göztepe47.3%
Draw27.2%
Gaziantep FK25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.7%
Handicap -1Göztepe win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss55.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.2%
1-27.3%

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK stats

Göztepe and Gaziantep FK recent form

newest first
Göztepe LLDLWD
Gaziantep FK LWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Göztepe wins 4Draws 2Gaziantep FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09GöztepeGaziantep FKSüper Lig2-1
2025-12-14Gaziantep FKGöztepeSüper Lig0-1
2025-04-07GöztepeGaziantep FKSüper Lig1-1
2025-02-06GöztepeGaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası1-0
2024-11-01Gaziantep FKGöztepeSüper Lig2-1
2022-04-23Gaziantep FKGöztepeSüper Lig1-1
2021-12-06GöztepeGaziantep FKSüper Lig2-1
2021-02-08Gaziantep FKGöztepeSüper Lig2-0
2020-09-26GöztepeGaziantep FKSüper Lig2-2
2020-02-22GöztepeGaziantep FKSüper Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.2%, draw 27.5%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.45 3.95
1xBet 2.01 3.51 4.03
Bet365 1.91 3.40 3.75
BetVictor 1.95 3.40 3.70
Betano 2.02 3.50 4.05
Betfair 1.91 3.30 4.00
Dafabet 1.97 3.50 3.85
Marathonbet 1.93 3.38 3.88
Pinnacle 2.03 3.42 4.03
SBO 2.01 3.16 3.40
Superbet 1.97 3.50 3.80
Unibet 1.88 3.55 4.00
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.22
X 3.42 ▼ -0.25
2 3.88 ▼ -0.62

15 snapshots recorded, from .