Galatasaray
vs
Göztepe
3 – 2 Full time
Galatasaray vs Göztepe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galatasaray vs Göztepe
| Probability | Galatasaray | Draw | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.3% | 19.6% | 16.1% |
| Market | 66.5% | 20.2% | 13.4% |
| Final | 65.9% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -0.5% | +2.7% |
Why Galatasaray
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Galatasaray and Göztepe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.62
Galatasaray and Göztepe attack and defence ratings
Galatasaray
Göztepe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Galatasaray vs Göztepe: result vs prediction
Galatasaray 3 – 2 Göztepe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Galatasaray vs Göztepe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 65.9% | 1.52 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 65.9% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Göztepe | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% |
| No | 36.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 43.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Galatasaray vs Göztepe stats
Galatasaray and Göztepe recent form
| Galatasaray |
WDLWLW |
| Göztepe |
LDLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galatasaray vs Göztepe head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Göztepe | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Galatasaray | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Galatasaray vs Göztepe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 20.2%, away 13.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.44 | 4.65 | 6.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.82 | 7.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.55 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.90 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 4.80 | 7.12 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.10 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .