Konyaspor
vs
Kocaelispor
1 – 2 Full time
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
| Probability | Konyaspor | Draw | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 30.8% | 24.5% |
| Market | 46.5% | 27.7% | 25.8% |
| Final | 46.0% | 28.5% | 25.5% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +3.0% | -1.3% |
Why Konyaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.91.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konyaspor and Kocaelispor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Konyaspor and Kocaelispor attack and defence ratings
Konyaspor
Kocaelispor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor: result vs prediction
Konyaspor 1 – 2 Kocaelispor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 46.0% | 2.17 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 46.0% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Kocaelispor | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konyaspor win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor stats
Konyaspor and Kocaelispor recent form
| Konyaspor |
LLLLLW |
| Kocaelispor |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Kocaelispor | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Konyaspor | Kocaelispor | Süper Lig | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 27.7%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.34 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.38 | 3.74 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 2.94 | 3.12 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .