Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Amed vs Trabzonspor

2 – 1 Full time

11′M. Salah
34′N. SavioloA. Simsir
39′Sidny Lopes Cabral
44′Chibuike Nwaiwu
45′Y. Sor
50′Y. SorG. Orban
58′FabinhoO. Tufan
61′D. BatesM. Yesil
61′G. GulF. Soyalp
71′E. MuciW. Pina
71′S. Lopes CabralM. Mimaroglu
75′Samuel Ballet
79′M. DiagneA. Cisse
84′Umut Meraş
85′Furkan Soyalp
90′Ermal Krasniqi
90′Gift Orban
90′Stefan Savić
90′G. Orban

Şilbe Spor Kompleksi, DiyarbakırReferee: Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye

Amed 37%
Draw 25%
Trabzonspor 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
40 Possession % 60
2 Corners 5
18 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 3
4 Saves 5
276 Accurate passes 453

Amed vs Trabzonspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Amed vs Trabzonspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmedDrawTrabzonspor
Model63.9%21.5%14.6%
Market27.4%25.9%46.6%
Final36.6%24.8%38.6%
Edge+36.4%-4.4%-32.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Trabzonspor

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Amed ↓ / Trabzonspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Amed and Trabzonspor expected goals

Amed 2.14
Trabzonspor 0.94

Total expected goals: 3.08

Amed and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings

Amed

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Trabzonspor

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Amed vs Trabzonspor: result vs prediction

Amed 2 – 1 Trabzonspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Amed vs Trabzonspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trabzonspor 38.6% 2.59 -32.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.8% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 85.4% 1.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Amed36.6%
Draw24.8%
Trabzonspor38.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%
Both teams to scoreYes54.8%
No45.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win5.1%
Push (exactly one goal)9.5%
Loss85.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.5%
1-110.2%
2-19.9%

Amed vs Trabzonspor stats

Amed and Trabzonspor recent form

newest first
Amed LWDDLD
Trabzonspor LWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Amed vs Trabzonspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Amed vs Trabzonspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 25.9%, away 46.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.35 3.65 2.00
1xBet 3.60 3.74 2.06
Bet365 3.40 3.75 2.00
BetVictor 3.40 3.60 2.00
Betano 3.35 3.65 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.50 2.00
Dafabet 3.45 3.70 2.04
Marathonbet 3.46 3.60 1.98
Pinnacle 3.62 3.69 2.05
SBO 3.19 3.37 2.01
Superbet 3.45 3.60 2.05
Unibet 3.55 3.60 1.98
William Hill 3.30 3.40 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▼ -1.23
X 3.60 ▼ -0.45
2 2.00 ▲ +0.36

11 snapshots recorded, from .