UEFA Europa League · Full time ·Play-offs

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor

4 – 0 Full time

Groupama Arena, BudapestReferee: R. Obrenovic

Ferencvarosi TC 38%
Draw 28%
Trabzonspor 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFerencvarosi TCDrawTrabzonspor
Model57.2%27.7%15.1%
Market31.0%27.5%41.4%
Final37.6%27.6%34.8%
Edge+26.2%+0.1%-26.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Ferencvarosi TC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ferencvarosi TC below the model: +26.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ferencvarosi T ↓ / Trabzonspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 16% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Ferencvarosi TC and Trabzonspor expected goals

Ferencvarosi TC 1.55
Trabzonspor 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.23

Ferencvarosi TC and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Trabzonspor

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor: result vs prediction

Ferencvarosi TC 4 – 0 Trabzonspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Play-offs fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ferencvarosi TC 37.6% 2.66 +26.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.7% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ferencvarosi TC37.6%
Draw27.6%
Trabzonspor34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.6%
Under 2.561.4%
Both teams to scoreYes40.0%
No60.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)62.4%
Handicap -1Ferencvarosi TC win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss42.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.5%
2-012.9%
1-112.5%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor stats

Ferencvarosi TC and Trabzonspor recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ferencvarosi TC and Trabzonspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferencvarosi TC record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Ferencvarosi TC wins 0Draws 1Trabzonspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-20TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League0-1
2022-11-03TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League1-0
2022-09-08Ferencvarosi TCTrabzonsporUEFA Europa League3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 27.5%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.98 3.40 2.26
1xBet 3.12 3.50 2.35
Bet365 2.88 3.30 2.25
BetVictor 3.00 3.40 2.25
Betano 3.00 3.35 2.27
Betfair 3.00 3.30 2.25
Dafabet 3.10 3.45 2.34
Marathonbet 3.12 3.50 2.35
Pinnacle 3.02 3.45 2.33
SBO 3.08 3.09 2.08
Superbet 3.05 3.40 2.32
Unibet 3.15 3.40 2.20
William Hill 2.90 3.10 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.02 ▲ +0.17
X 3.40 ▼ -0.15
2 2.26 ▼ -0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .